Result
1:1
20/03/2026 at 23:06 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (226/301) | 84% (462/548) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (226/301) | 84% (462/548) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 53% (17/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 73% (126/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 6% (2/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Ovalle J. ⚽,
- 51', Montano A. ↓, Paradela J. ↑,
- 59', Paradela J. 🟨,
- 61', Marquez J. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
- 62', Rodarte J. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
- 68', Rubio B. 🟨,
- 70', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 75', Santos S. 🟨,
- 76', Dudu ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 76', Ovalle J. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 82', Rubio B. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 82', Zaleta M. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
- 82', Merolla L. ↓, Leyva A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Fernandez G. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 89', Campos O. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
19.3% | Draw
21.8% | Cruz Azul
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mazatlan - Cruz Azul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.77 ↓
(6.5) |
4.28 ↓
(4.4) |
1.6 ↑
(1.42) |
6.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Cruz Azul?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cruz Azul will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2.
- Mazatlan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruz Azul is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruz Azul is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cruz Azul: Ditta W.
(Yellow Cards)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Diaz J.
(Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Rotondi C.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Cruz Azul?
Mazatlan has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Mazatlan?
Cruz Azul has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Cruz Azul were as follows:
12.07.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Mazatlan
0:0
06.07.2025
Mazatlan
-
Cruz Azul
2:1
28.02.2025
Mazatlan
-
Cruz Azul
1:1
13.08.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Mazatlan
2:3
06.07.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Mazatlan
1:0
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
