Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (379/440) | 77% (229/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (379/440) | 77% (229/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (38/62) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (112/147) | 66% (58/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Romero L. 🟨,
- 19', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 25', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Jhon Jhon ⚽, Laquintana I. (A),
- 43', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 43', Gabriel 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Lucas Silva ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 56', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 60', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 62', Wanderson ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 63', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 65', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 65', Laquintana I. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 67', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 70', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
- 71', Romero L. ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Kaiki ⚽,
- 79', Nathan Mendes ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 84', Cassio 🟨,
- 89', Fabinho 🟨,
- 90+2', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Kaio Jorge ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 90+6', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro 62% | Draw 23.1% | Red Bull Bragantino 14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↓ (1.62) |
4.1 ↑ (3.73) |
6.34 ↑ (5.45) |
5.3% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
- Cruzeiro has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- RB Bragantino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Praxedes
(Thigh Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Borbas T.
(Inactive)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Cruzeiro?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
20.04.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
22.03.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
01.12.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
13.07.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
03.09.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet