Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (264/334) | 78% (265/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (264/334) | 78% (265/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 62% (43/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 62% (59/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Hurtado A. ⚽, Pitta I. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Villarreal N. ⚽, Fagner (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, Christian ⚽, Arroyo K. (A),
- 59', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 63', Sosa I. ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
- 69', Lucas Silva ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 69', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 74', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 77', Fagner ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
- 82', Gustavo Marques 🟨,
- 84', Villarreal N. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 84', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
- 84', Gabriel ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 84', Hurtado A. ↓, Jhuan ↑,
- 84', Vinicinho ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
48.5% | Draw
27.9% | Red Bull Bragantino
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.73) |
3.41 ↓
(3.65) |
4.05 ↓
(4.8) |
5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Knee Injury)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Sinisterra L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Inactive)
Eduardo Sasha
(Inactive)
Fabricio
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Herrera J.
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Jonathan Jesus
(Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Herrera J.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Cruzeiro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Cruzeiro?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
21.09.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
20.04.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
22.03.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
01.12.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
13.07.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
