Result
3:0
07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Win Sports |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1, Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (380/438) | 85% (331/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (380/438) | 85% (331/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 52% (13/25) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (122/161) | 81% (73/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Thaciano ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Thaciano ⚽, Igor Vinicius (A),
- 28', Thaciano 🟨,
- 34', Guilherme 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
- 55', Lelis R. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 0, Joao Schmidt ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 65', Lelis R. ↓, Kenji ↑,
- 65', Japa ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
- 69', Barreal A. ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 69', Joao Schmidt ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 78', Arao W. ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 79', Thaciano ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 79', Eduardo ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 79', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 83', Guilherme ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 84', Walace ↓, Murilo Rhikman ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
68.6% | Draw
20.4% | Cruzeiro
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Santos - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.54) |
4.64 ↑
(3.86) |
8.5 ↑
(7) |
5.9%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Santos - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 46.5% – 86.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Santos (1.56) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH 0 - Santos (1.11) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Santos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cruzeiro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santos is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Santos: Tiquinho Soares
(Knee Injury)
Ze Rafael
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Wanderson
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Kaio Jorge
(Injury)
- We predict that Santos will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Cruzeiro?
Santos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Santos?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Cruzeiro were as follows:
10.08.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Santos
1:2
14.09.2023
Santos
-
Cruzeiro
0:3
06.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Santos
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
