Result
0:0
22/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (398/478) | 76% (242/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (398/478) | 76% (242/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 27% (14/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (78/121) | 53% (35/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Barreal A. 🟨,
- 12', William Furtado 🟨,
- 45+3', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Moises ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 70', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 70', Villarreal N. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 81', Oliva C. ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 83', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 84', Rincon T. 🟨,
- 85', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Menino ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 87', Christian ↓, Kenji ↑,
- 90+5', Matheus Henrique ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 90+9', Gabriel Menino 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
55.6% | Draw
25.8% | Santos
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Cruzeiro - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.81) |
3.68 ↓
(3.69) |
5.09 ↑
(4.3) |
5.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Santos?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Cruzeiro (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Bruno Rodrigues
(Inactive)
Cassio
(Injury)
Gerson
(Inactive)
Joao Marcelo
(Inactive)
Kaio Jorge
(Inactive)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Romero L.
(Inactive)
Sinisterra L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Santos: Vinicius Lira
(Inactive)
Ze Rafael
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Santos?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Cruzeiro?
Santos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Santos were as follows:
07.12.2025
Santos
-
Cruzeiro
3:0
10.08.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Santos
1:2
14.09.2023
Santos
-
Cruzeiro
0:3
06.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Santos
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
