Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 19
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (303/377) | 81% (249/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (303/377) | 81% (249/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (109/149) | 65% (42/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Rincon T. 🟨,
- 24', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 34', Romero L. 🟨,
- 35', Neymar 🟨,
- 41', Christian 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Fabricio Bruno ⚽, Wanderson (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Barreal A. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 46', Rollheiser B. ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 47', Rincon T. ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 48', Caballero G. 🟨,
- 58', Kaiki 🟨,
- 61', Ze Rafael 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Caballero G. (A),
- 72', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 72', Christian ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 81', Romero L. ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Caballero G. ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 90+3', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 90+4', Neymar ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 90+4', Guilherme ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
60.5% | Draw
23.8% | Santos
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Cruzeiro - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.51) |
3.98 ↑
(3.82) |
6.09 ↓
(7.35) |
5.3%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Santos?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Santos will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
Guilherme
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Basso
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Aderlan
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Santos?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Cruzeiro?
Santos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Santos were as follows:
14.09.2023
Santos
-
Cruzeiro
0:3
06.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Santos
2:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 47:10 | 37 | 50 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 39:23 | 16 | 39 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 6 | Bahia | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 35 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Fluminense | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Ceara | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 12 | Internacional | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 25 |
| 15 | Vasco | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
