Santos vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaWin Sports
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
87% (380/438)85% (331/390)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.600.26
Total shots
198
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
171
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
397
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
128
Passes
87% (380/438)85% (331/390)
Long passes
67% (28/42)52% (13/25)
Passes in final third
76% (122/161)81% (73/90)
Crosses
29% (6/21)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.880.22
Throw-ins
98
Fouls
812
Tackles
70% (14/20)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
1221
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.262.60
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Thaciano , Guilherme (A),
  • 28', 2 - 0, Thaciano , Igor Vinicius (A),
  • 28', Thaciano 🟨,
  • 34', Guilherme 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
  • 55', Lelis R. 🟨,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Joao Schmidt , Guilherme (A),
  • 65', Lelis R. , Kenji ,
  • 65', Japa , Ryan Guilherme ,
  • 69', Barreal A. , Rollheiser B. ,
  • 69', Joao Schmidt , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 78', Arao W. , Rincon T. ,
  • 79', Thaciano , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 79', Eduardo , Arroyo K. ,
  • 79', Gabriel Barbosa , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 83', Guilherme , Robson Junior ,
  • 84', Walace , Murilo Rhikman ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
68.6%
Draw
20.4%
Cruzeiro
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 24.7% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 23.9% 13.2%

Santos - Cruzeiro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.38
(1.54)
4.64
(3.86)
8.5
(7)
5.9%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Santos - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 46.5%86.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Santos (1.11) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
    • Santos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cruzeiro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Santos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Santos is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Santos: Tiquinho Soares (Knee Injury) Ze Rafael (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Wanderson (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Kaio Jorge (Injury)
    • We predict that Santos will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    14.09.2023 Santos - Cruzeiro 0:3
    06.05.2023 Cruzeiro - Santos 2:1
    Latest results of Santos
    03.12.2025 Juventude - Santos 0:3
    28.11.2025 Santos - Sport Recife 3:0
    24.11.2025 Internacional RS - Santos 1:1
    19.11.2025 Santos - Mirassol 1:1
    15.11.2025 Santos - Palmeiras 1:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    04.12.2025 Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    29.11.2025 Ceará - Cruzeiro 1:1
    23.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Corinthians 3:0
    20.11.2025 Juventude - Cruzeiro 3:3
    09.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Fluminense 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet