Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
82% (329/401) | 76% (219/289) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 6 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.67 | 0.28 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 17 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
82% (329/401) | 76% (219/289) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (31/65) | 33% (13/39) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (53/75) | 57% (50/88) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 22% (5/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.38 | 0.58 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (15/21) | 57% (13/23) |
Duels won |
---|
70 | 60 |
Clearances Total |
---|
35 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.28 | 0.67 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.72 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Alisson 🟨,
- 27', Kaiki 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Alisson ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 46', Luciano ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 51', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 0, Ferreira ⚽, Soares C. (A),
- 57', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 61', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 67', Christian ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 74', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 77', Ferreira ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
- 77', Kaio Jorge ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 77', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 78', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
- 78', Lucas Silva ↓, Walace ↑,
- 81', Romero L. 🟨,
- 84', Fagner 🟨,
- 85', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 86', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 90+4', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 90+8', Matheus Alves 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo 49.5% | Draw 30.3% | Cruzeiro 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
São Paulo - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (1.98) |
3.16 ↓ (3.4) |
4.6 ↑ (3.86) |
5.2% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3.
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Red Card)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Inactive)
Oscar
(Hamstring Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Inactive)
Young
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Japa
(Inactive)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Jesus
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Matheus Henrique
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Cruzeiro?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against São Paulo?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Cruzeiro were as follows:
15.01.2025
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
1:1
15.09.2024
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
0:1
02.06.2024
São Paulo
-
Cruzeiro
2:0
02.11.2023
São Paulo
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
24.06.2023
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
1:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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