Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (329/401) | 76% (219/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (329/401) | 76% (219/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 33% (13/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (53/75) | 57% (50/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.58 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Alisson 🟨,
- 27', Kaiki 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Alisson ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 46', Luciano ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 51', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 0, Ferreira ⚽, Soares C. (A),
- 57', Diaz E. 🟨,
- 61', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 67', Christian ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 74', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 77', Ferreira ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
- 77', Kaio Jorge ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 77', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 78', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
- 78', Lucas Silva ↓, Walace ↑,
- 81', Romero L. 🟨,
- 84', Fagner 🟨,
- 85', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 86', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 90+4', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 90+8', Matheus Alves 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
49.5% | Draw
30.3% | Cruzeiro
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
São Paulo - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(1.98) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
4.6 ↑
(3.86) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Paulo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3.
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Red Card)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Inactive)
Oscar
(Hamstring Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Inactive)
Young
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Japa
(Inactive)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Jesus
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Matheus Henrique
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Cruzeiro?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against São Paulo?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Cruzeiro were as follows:
15.01.2025
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
1:1
15.09.2024
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
0:1
02.06.2024
São Paulo
-
Cruzeiro
2:0
02.11.2023
São Paulo
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
24.06.2023
Cruzeiro
-
São Paulo
1:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
