Cruzeiro vs São Paulo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - São Paulo
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.10
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
80% (255/319)87% (416/477)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.711.12
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
810
Passes
80% (255/319)87% (416/477)
Long passes
49% (20/41)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
62% (48/77)75% (91/121)
Crosses
15% (2/13)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.52
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
119
Tackles
64% (7/11)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3346
Clearances
2320
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.121.71
Goals prevented
1.120.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Luciano 🟨,
  • 28', Villalba L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 61', Rodriguinho 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Matheus Pereira ,
  • 70', Patryck 🟨,
  • 73', Wanderson , Eduardo ,
  • 78', Ferreira , Tapia G. ,
  • 78', Luciano , Dinenno J. ,
  • 83', Pablo Maia , Henrique Carmo ,
  • 83', Patryck , Wendell ,
  • 87', Matheus Pereira , Kaua Prates ,
  • 87', Lucas Silva 🟨,
  • 87', Lucas Silva , Sinisterra L. ,
  • 88', Bobadilla D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
49.5%
Draw
29.4%
São Paulo
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 27.7% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27.2% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Cruzeiro - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.78)
    3.21
    (3.38)
    4.52
    (4.73)
    5.8%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Inactive)
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva (Knee Injury) Diaz E. (Yellow Cards) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Oscar (Back Injury) Robert Arboleda (Muscle Injury) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury) Wendell (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in São Paulo: Marcos Antonio (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - São Paulo were as follows:
    13.04.2025 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 1:1
    15.01.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:1
    15.09.2024 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 0:1
    02.06.2024 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 2:0
    02.11.2023 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    18.08.2025 Mirassol - Cruzeiro 1:1
    10.08.2025 Cruzeiro - Santos 1:2
    07.08.2025 CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro 0:2
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino26961132:38-633
    10Gremio2689928:32-433
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet