Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama
Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
81% (262/324)85% (363/426)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.071.26
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
81% (262/324)85% (363/426)
Long passes
44% (15/34)49% (24/49)
Passes in final third
70% (76/109)77% (86/111)
Crosses
32% (8/25)39% (12/31)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.61
Throw-ins
1926
Fouls
1812
Tackles
44% (4/9)41% (9/22)
Duels won
3962
Clearances
3127
Interceptions
33
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.261.07
Goals prevented
1.260.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 1 - 0, Christian , Kaio Jorge (A),
  • 75', Jair , Paulinho Paula ,
  • 75', Rayan , Garre B. ,
  • 75', Moreira N. , Augusto L. ,
  • 79', Wanderson , Marquinhos ,
  • 84', Matheus Pereira , Eduardo ,
  • 84', Paulo Henrique , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 87', Lucas Freitas , Alex Teixeira ,
  • 90+2', Kaio Jorge , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 90+2', Fagner , Janderson ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
43.9%
Draw
30%
Vasco da Gama
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 25.2% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 27.7% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.
  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.76)
    3.14
    (3.75)
    3.63
    (4.5)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 2.
    • Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Vasco have a series of home games.
    • Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno (Yellow Cards) Japa (Thigh Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vasco: David (Knee Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury) Lemos M. (Injury) Payet D. (Injury) Tche Tche (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Bolasie Y. (Knock) Fagner (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:20 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    16.06.2024 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 0:0
    22.11.2023 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 2:2
    08.07.2023 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 0:1
    21.09.2022 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 3:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1
    17.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 3:0
    13.04.2025 São Paulo - Cruzeiro 1:1
    09.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa 1:2
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet