Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (291/374) | 81% (318/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (291/374) | 81% (318/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (58/77) | 63% (83/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (22/29) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Rayan ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wanderson ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 57', Vegetti P. ↓, David ↑,
- 57', Moreira N. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 61', Christian ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Paulo Henrique ⚽,
- 63', Kaiki 🟨,
- 66', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 68', Romero L. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 80', Coutinho ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 81', Kaiki ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 81', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 90+2', Cuesta C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cuesta C. ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
35.3% | Draw
30.6% | Cruzeiro
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(2.8) |
3.22 ↑
(3.2) |
2.91 ↑
(2.5) |
1.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.
- Vasco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cruzeiro is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
GB
(Inactive)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Robert Renan
(Injury)
Thiago Mendes
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Gabriel Barbosa
(Yellow Cards)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Villalba L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton
(Calf Injury)
Tche Tche
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Cruzeiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro were as follows:
27.04.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
29.09.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
16.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
22.11.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:2
08.07.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
0:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
