Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
81% (262/324) | 85% (363/426) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.07 | 1.26 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
81% (262/324) | 85% (363/426) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (15/34) | 49% (24/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (76/109) | 77% (86/111) |
Crosses |
---|
32% (8/25) | 39% (12/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
44% (4/9) | 41% (9/22) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 62 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.26 | 1.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.26 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 75', Jair ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 75', Rayan ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 75', Moreira N. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 79', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 84', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 84', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 87', Lucas Freitas ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 90+2', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Fagner ↓, Janderson ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro 43.9% | Draw 30% | Vasco da Gama 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+15.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (1.76) |
3.14 ↓ (3.75) |
3.63 ↓ (4.5) |
5.6% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 2.
- Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Vasco have a series of home games.
- Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno
(Yellow Cards)
Japa
(Thigh Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Payet D.
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Bolasie Y.
(Knock)
Fagner
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:20 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Cruzeiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
29.09.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
16.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
22.11.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:2
08.07.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
0:1
21.09.2022
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet