Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 25
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
78% (291/374)81% (318/394)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.96
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
716
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1932
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
78% (291/374)81% (318/394)
Long passes
38% (24/64)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
75% (58/77)63% (83/131)
Crosses
11% (1/9)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.49
Throw-ins
1330
Fouls
1313
Tackles
76% (22/29)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5752
Clearances
3315
Interceptions
2110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.961.34
Goals prevented
0.96-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Rayan , Paulo Henrique (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wanderson , Arroyo K. ,
  • 57', Vegetti P. , David ,
  • 57', Moreira N. , Gomez C. A. ,
  • 61', Christian , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Paulo Henrique ,
  • 63', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 66', Cauan Barros 🟨,
  • 68', Romero L. , Marquinhos ,
  • 80', Coutinho , Matheus Franca ,
  • 81', Kaiki , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 81', Jonathan Jesus , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 90+2', Cuesta C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cuesta C. , Lucas Oliveira ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
35.3%
Draw
30.6%
Cruzeiro
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 29.2% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.3% 37.3%

Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.74
(2.8)
3.22
(3.2)
2.91
(2.5)
1.9%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.
    • Vasco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cruzeiro is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) GB (Inactive) Jair (Knee Injury) Robert Renan (Injury) Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Gabriel Barbosa (Yellow Cards) Janderson (Knee Injury) Villalba L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton (Calf Injury) Tche Tche (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    29.09.2024 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    16.06.2024 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 0:0
    22.11.2023 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 2:2
    08.07.2023 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 0:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1
    21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    30.08.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet