Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (262/324) | 85% (363/426) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (262/324) | 85% (363/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/109) | 77% (86/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 39% (12/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 41% (9/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 75', Jair ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 75', Rayan ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 75', Moreira N. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 79', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 84', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 84', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 87', Lucas Freitas ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 90+2', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Fagner ↓, Janderson ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
43.9% | Draw
30% | Vasco da Gama
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+15.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.76) |
3.14 ↓
(3.75) |
3.63 ↓
(4.5) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 2.
- Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Vasco have a series of home games.
- Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno
(Yellow Cards)
Japa
(Thigh Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Payet D.
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Bolasie Y.
(Knock)
Fagner
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:20 (average 1.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:11 (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Cruzeiro?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
29.09.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
16.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
0:0
22.11.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
2:2
08.07.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Cruzeiro
0:1
21.09.2022
Cruzeiro
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
