Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro
Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 25
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
78% (291/374)81% (318/394)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.96
Total shots
1221
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
716
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1932
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
78% (291/374)81% (318/394)
Long passes
38% (24/64)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
75% (58/77)63% (83/131)
Crosses
11% (1/9)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.49
Throw-ins
1330
Fouls
1313
Tackles
76% (22/29)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5752
Clearances
3315
Interceptions
2110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.961.34
Goals prevented
0.96-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Rayan , Paulo Henrique (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wanderson , Arroyo K. ,
  • 57', Vegetti P. , David ,
  • 57', Moreira N. , Gomez C. A. ,
  • 61', Christian , Matheus Henrique ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Paulo Henrique ,
  • 63', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 66', Cauan Barros 🟨,
  • 68', Romero L. , Marquinhos ,
  • 80', Coutinho , Matheus Franca ,
  • 81', Kaiki , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 81', Jonathan Jesus , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 90+2', Cuesta C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cuesta C. , Lucas Oliveira ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
35.3%
Draw
30.6%
Cruzeiro
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 29.2% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 29.3% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.8)
    3.22
    (3.2)
    2.91
    (2.5)
    1.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.
    • Vasco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cruzeiro is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) GB (Inactive) Jair (Knee Injury) Robert Renan (Injury) Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Gabriel Barbosa (Yellow Cards) Janderson (Knee Injury) Villalba L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton (Calf Injury) Tche Tche (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    29.09.2024 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    16.06.2024 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 0:0
    22.11.2023 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 2:2
    08.07.2023 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 0:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    24.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia 3:1
    21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    14.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Ceará 2:2
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    30.08.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia29147840:32849
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Vasco291161246:41539
    9Corinthians301091132:35-339
    10Sao Paulo291081131:33-238
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet