Result
0:0
12/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (163/282) | 59% (160/269) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (163/282) | 59% (160/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (33/96) | 35% (31/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (57/115) | 48% (55/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 62 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
- 45+2', Eduardo 🟥,
- 45+6', Jamerson ↓, Maykon Jesus ↑,
- 45+11', Romero L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 60', Lucas Braga ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 60', Ronald Lopes ↓, Willian Oliveira ↑,
- 60', Osvaldo ↓, Gustavo Silva ↑,
- 74', Matheus Pereira ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 77', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 78', Renato Kayzer ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 90+4', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
28.4% | Draw
30.5% | Cruzeiro
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(3.15) |
3.1 ↓
(3.19) |
2.31 ↓
(2.37) |
6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 32.6% – 78.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Cruzeiro (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.
- Vitória is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cruzeiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Vitória has had a series of away games.
- Cruzeiro will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vitória: Caceres R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hugo
(Calf Injury)
Janderson
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Halter
(Yellow Cards)
Neris
(Muscle Injury)
Ricardo Ryller
(Yellow Cards)
Willian Oliveira
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Christian
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Cruzeiro?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Vitória Salvador?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro were as follows:
19.08.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Cruzeiro
2:2
28.04.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Vitória Salvador
3:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
