Cruzeiro vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
01/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 31
  • Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.55
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
107
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
81% (271/335)83% (332/398)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.031.98
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1423
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
81% (271/335)83% (332/398)
Long passes
38% (15/40)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
76% (91/120)65% (61/94)
Crosses
13% (2/15)30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.43
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1510
Tackles
80% (12/15)74% (14/19)
Duels won
3251
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
1.982.03
Goals prevented
0.98-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', Dudu 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge (Pen),
  • 12', Jonathan Jesus 🟨,
  • 20', Camutanga 🟨,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Kaio Jorge , Kaiki (A),
  • 34', William Furtado 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Willian Oliveira , Cantalapiedra A. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 1, Arroyo K. , Romero L. (A),
  • 45+4', Christian 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dudu , Pepe ,
  • 46', Renato Kayzer , Lopez R. ,
  • 46', Camutanga , Edu ,
  • 56', Ze Marcos 🟨,
  • 59', Matheuzinho , Kike Saverio ,
  • 66', Christian , Eduardo ,
  • 73', Kaio Jorge , Sinisterra L. ,
  • 73', Arroyo K. , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 76', Ze Marcos , Osvaldo ,
  • 81', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
  • 88', Lucas Silva , Japa ,
  • 89', Matheus Pereira , Walace ,
  • 90+5', Edu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
66.9%
Draw
21%
Vitória Salvador
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 21.6% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 21.2% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.4)
    4.46
    (4.33)
    7.68
    (8)
    5.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 59%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 50%). Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Cruzeiro (1.65) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Vitória (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno (Red Card) Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Ribs Injury) Villalba L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Baralhas (Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Lucas Arcanjo (Yellow Cards) Lucas Halter (Yellow Cards) Ramos R. (Injury) Ronald Lopes (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Wanderson (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Lucas Arcanjo (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    12.06.2025 Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro 0:0
    19.08.2024 Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro 2:2
    28.04.2024 Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador 3:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    26.10.2025 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 0:0
    18.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:0
    05.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Sport Recife 1:1
    02.10.2025 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 0:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras431012:5710
    2Sao Paulo43106:2410
    3Corinthians42115:327
    4Bahia32104:227
    5Fluminense42115:417
    6Athletico-PR42114:317
    7Bragantino42113:307
    8Gremio42028:806
    9Chapecoense-SC31208:625
    10Mirassol31206:515
    11Flamengo RJ31114:404
    12Coritiba41125:6-14
    13Santos41126:8-24
    14Botafogo RJ31027:613
    15Vitoria31024:7-33
    16Remo40316:8-23
    17Atletico-MG40226:8-22
    18Internacional40223:6-32
    19Cruzeiro40224:9-52
    20Vasco40133:6-31

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet