Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/09/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.85
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
75
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
1317
Corner Kicks
81
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
23
Total Passes
524398
Completed Passes
447327
Clearances Completed
411
Crosses Completed
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Akturkoglu K. , Bah A. (A),
  • 25', Silas 🟨,
  • 26', Mimovic O. , Dalcio ,
  • 29', 0 - 2, Kokcu O. ,
  • 37', Bah A. , Kabore I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 56', Rollheiser B. , Aursnes F. ,
  • 64', Kabore I. 🟨,
  • 71', Bruno Duarte , Ndiaye C. ,
  • 71', Olayinka P. , Milson ,
  • 77', Aursnes F. 🟨,
  • 82', Krunic R. , Ilic L. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Milson , Ndiaye C. (A),
  • 88', Di Maria A. , Beste J. ,
  • 88', Pavlidis V. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 88', Kokcu O. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 90+4', Seol Young-Woo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
24.8%
Draw
25.2%
Benfica
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 25.2% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 25.1% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.9
    (3.99)
    3.84
    (3.81)
    1.93
    (1.89)
    3.5%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: Benfica will win (72 of 86 users predict this - 83.72%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.92%91.52%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Benfica will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Benfica
    14.09.2024 Benfica - Santa Clara 4:1
    30.08.2024 Moreirense - Benfica 1:1
    17.08.2024 Benfica - Casa Pia 3:0
    11.08.2024 Famalicão - Benfica 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2