Crvena Zvezda Belgrade vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Benfica
Result
1:2
19/09/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.85
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
75
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
1317
Corner Kicks
81
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
23
Total Passes
524398
Completed Passes
447327
Clearances Completed
411
Crosses Completed
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Akturkoglu K. , Bah A. (A),
  • 25', Silas 🟨,
  • 26', Mimovic O. , Dalcio ,
  • 29', 0 - 2, Kokcu O. ,
  • 37', Bah A. , Kabore I. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 56', Rollheiser B. , Aursnes F. ,
  • 64', Kabore I. 🟨,
  • 71', Bruno Duarte , Ndiaye C. ,
  • 71', Olayinka P. , Milson ,
  • 77', Aursnes F. 🟨,
  • 82', Krunic R. , Ilic L. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Milson , Ndiaye C. (A),
  • 88', Di Maria A. , Beste J. ,
  • 88', Pavlidis V. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 88', Kokcu O. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 90+4', Seol Young-Woo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
24.8%
Draw
25.2%
Benfica
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 25.2% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 25.1% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (3.99)
    3.83
    (3.81)
    1.93
    (1.89)
    3.5%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: Benfica will win (72 of 86 users predict this - 83.72%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.92%91.52%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Benfica will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Benfica
    14.09.2024 Benfica - Santa Clara 4:1
    30.08.2024 Moreirense - Benfica 1:1
    17.08.2024 Benfica - Casa Pia 3:0
    11.08.2024 Famalicão - Benfica 2:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)