Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 9 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (341/392) | 80% (254/319) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (341/392) | 80% (254/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (18/35) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (94/120) | 55% (51/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Schjelderup A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', 0 - 2, Rios R. ⚽, Schjelderup A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Otamendi N. 🟥,
- 57', Prestianni G. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, De Amorim M. ⚽, Realpe L. (A),
- 72', Schjelderup A. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
- 72', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
- 72', Gil Dias ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 74', Sa G. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 2, Abubakar U. ⚽, De Amorim M. (A),
- 83', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
- 85', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 90+3', De Amorim M. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 90+9', Trubin A. 🟨,
- 90+12', Rios R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Famalicão
17.6% | Draw
23.1% | Benfica
59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Famalicão - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.33 ↑
(5.13) |
4.13 ↑
(4.04) |
1.6 ↓
(1.7) |
5.6%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.
- Famalicão is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Benfica is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Benfica: Veloso J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Araujo T.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 10:33. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Benfica?
Famalicão has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Famalicão?
Benfica has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Benfica were as follows:
22.12.2025
Benfica
-
Famalicão
1:0
17.01.2025
Benfica
-
Famalicão
4:0
11.08.2024
Famalicão
-
Benfica
2:0
05.05.2024
Famalicão
-
Benfica
2:0
29.12.2023
Benfica
-
Famalicão
3:0
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
