Result
0:3
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 11
- Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 3.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (160/249) | 87% (521/599) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 3.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 3.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 23 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 67 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (160/249) | 87% (521/599) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (26/73) | 76% (34/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 79% (187/236) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 45% (15/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 2.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Laban L. 🟨,
- 36', Damjanovic A. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Kostov V. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Laban L. ↓, Mihajlovic P. ↑,
- 46', Damjanovic A. ↓, Ivanic M. ↑,
- 46', Zlicic L. ↓, Bastajic N. ↑,
- 56', Drobnjak L. 🟨,
- 63', Mihajlovic P. 🟨,
- 67', Milson ↓, Zaric L. ↑,
- 67', Bajo M. ↓, Elsnik T. ↑,
- 67', Miletic V. ↓, Krstic F. ↑,
- 77', Lucic V. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
- 77', Saric M. ↓, Bubanj M. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Olayinka P. ⚽, Lekovic S. (A),
- 84', Stankovic N. ↓, Tiknizyan N. ↑,
- 89', Drobnjak L. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
- 89', Zaric L. 🟨,
- 90+1', 0 - 3, Seol Young-Woo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Napredak Kruševac
7.5% | Draw
14.2% | Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
78.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.
Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.3 ↑
(11.7) |
6.52 ↑
(4.63) |
1.18 ↓
(1.28) |
7.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Napredak will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Crvena Zvezda (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Crvena Zvezda (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0.
- Napredak is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Crvena Zvezda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napredak won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 19 matches, and goals 5:48. (average 0.3:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napredak won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 2:22. (average 0.2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
Napredak Kruševac has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Napredak Kruševac?
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:
07.05.2025
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Napredak Kruševac
4:2
15.02.2025
Napredak Kruševac
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
0:4
14.09.2024
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
-
Napredak Kruševac
2:0
16.05.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
0:4
03.12.2023
Napredak Kruševac
-
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
0:1
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 72:19 | 53 | 57 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 55:30 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Radnik | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Radnicki 1923 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | TSC | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | IMT Novi Beograd | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 28 |
| 13 | Mladost | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 18:34 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Javor | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 17 |
| 16 | Napredak | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21:50 | -29 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
