AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 ET
19/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, Q Football Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusRIK 1
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 2 ROI
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV3+, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamOn Golf, ON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.273.18
Ball possession
30%70%
Total shots
629
Shots on target
37
Big chances
16
Corner kicks
110
Passes
67% (198/296)88% (612/693)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
0.273.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.042.32
Total shots
629
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
215
Blocked shots
17
Shots inside the box
419
Shots outside the box
210
Hit the woodwork
03
Headed goals
10
Big chances
16
Corner kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
1258
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free kicks
217
Passes
67% (198/296)88% (612/693)
Long passes
27% (20/74)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
49% (45/92)80% (189/235)
Crosses
38% (5/13)33% (13/39)
Expected assists (xA)
1.093.57
Throw ins
1916
Fouls
721
Tackles
46% (6/13)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
5125
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.321.04
Goals prevented
0.320.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Sarr I. ,
  • 27', Richards C. 🟨,
  • 33', Saborit E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Lacroix M. 🟨,
  • 60', Johnson B. , Munoz D. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Saborit E. , Rohden M. (A),
  • 73', Saborit E. 🟨,
  • 76', Guessand E. , Pino Y. ,
  • 76', Richards C. , Lerma J. ,
  • 76', Bajic R. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 79', Ivanovic D. , Roberge V. ,
  • 79', Garcia A. , Gurfinkel Y. ,
  • 83', Canvot J. , Mateta J. ,
  • 84', Larsen J. S. 🟨,
  • 89', Rohden M. , Kyriakou C. ,
  • 90+3', Rozada J. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 99', 1 - 2, Sarr I. , Kamada D. (A),
  • 106', Pons P. , Mudrazija R. ,
  • 112', Cabrera E. , Rubio W. ,
  • 116', Glasner O. 🟨,
  • 119', Wharton A. , Hughes W. ,
  • 120+1', Roberge V. 🟨,
  • 120+4', Ioannou P. 🟥,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
14.2%
Draw
23.7%
Crystal Palace
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 22.4% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16% 22% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.71
    (5.81)
    4
    (4.24)
    1.52
    (1.55)
    5.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 39.1%73.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 1 - 20%). Crystal Palace (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Crystal Palace (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Crystal Palace (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Crystal Palace (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Crystal Palace (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Crystal Palace (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - AEK Larnaca (2.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 25%). Crystal Palace (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Crystal Palace may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Crystal Palace is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Cardero A. (Inactive) Chacon Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Inactive) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Injury) Jimmy Suarez (Groin Injury) Naoum G. (Muscle Injury) Roberge V. (Finger Injury) Rubio W. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Henderson D. (Illness) Munoz D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace were as follows:
    12.03.2026 Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca 0:0
    23.10.2025 Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    Latest results of Crystal Palace
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2