Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
1:3
05/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29
  • Referee: Madley A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.581.78
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
44
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
63
Passes
78% (236/303)88% (399/455)
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.581.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.151.54
Total shots
129
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2422
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1414
Passes
78% (236/303)88% (399/455)
Long passes
45% (19/42)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
55% (39/71)71% (63/89)
Crosses
42% (5/12)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.93
Throw ins
2213
Fouls
1414
Tackles
59% (10/17)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5958
Clearances
2832
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.541.15
Goals prevented
-1.460.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 7', Souza 🟨,
  • 14', Munoz D. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
  • 22', Larsen J. S. 🟨,
  • 25', Sarr P. M. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Solanke D. ⚽, Gray A. (A),
  • 38', van de Ven M. 🟥,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Sarr I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 43', Souza ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
  • 43', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Larsen J. S. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
  • 45+7', 1 - 3, Sarr I. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Guessand E. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
  • 74', Solanke D. ↓, Richarlison ↑,
  • 74', Porro P. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
  • 81', Larsen J. S. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
  • 81', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
  • 82', Bissouma Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Clyne N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tottenham Hotspur
38.3%		Draw
28.6%		Crystal Palace
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 29.2% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
    •

    Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.51 ↑
    (2.28)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.43)    		 2.9 ↓
    (3.21)    		 4.1%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 26 - 44.1%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 21 - 35.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 31.4% – 56.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Crystal Palace (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - Tottenham (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Crystal Palace (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Tottenham (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Tottenham (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Tottenham (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Tottenham (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Tottenham (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Tottenham (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Tottenham (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.25 - Tottenham (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Tottenham (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Tottenham (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 3.
    • Tottenham is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Crystal Palace has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tottenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Muscle Injury) Bergvall L. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Odobert W. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Red Card) Udogie D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Lacroix M. (Red Card) Lerma J. (Muscle Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tottenham: Spence D. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace were as follows:
    28.12.2025 Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur 0:1
    11.05.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace 0:2
    27.10.2024 Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur 1:0
    02.03.2024 Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace 3:1
    27.10.2023 Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur 1:2
    Latest results of Tottenham Hotspur
    01.03.2026 Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur 2:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal 1:4 ✺
    10.02.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur 2:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Crystal Palace
    01.03.2026 Manchester United - Crystal Palace 2:1 ✺
    26.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Zrinjski Mostar 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:0 ✺
    19.02.2026 Zrinjski Mostar - Crystal Palace 1:1 ✺
    11.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Burnley 2:3 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd321510757:451255
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds328121239:49-1036
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

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