Result
2:1 penalties
16/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Palace TV, Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (417/502) | 76% (318/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (417/502) | 76% (318/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (74/115) | 55% (60/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 78% (21/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Kelly D. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Esse R. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
- 46', Ivanovic M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
- 60', Ballo T. 🟨,
- 61', Guehi M. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
- 70', Bangura-Williams R. 🟨,
- 71', Sosa B. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
- 71', Pino Y. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Richards C. ⚽,
- 76', Hughes W. 🟨,
- 78', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 78', Neghli C. ↓, Howland J. ↑,
- 78', Grant K. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 83', Mazou-Sacko D. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Leonard R. ⚽, Howland J. (A),
- 90+5', Leonard R. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Mateta J. (Pen),
- 1, Crama T. (Pen),
- 2, Richards C. (Pen),
- 2, Harding W. (Pen),
- 3, Devenny J. (Pen),
- 3, Leonard R. (Pen),
- 4, Kamada D. (Pen),
- 4, Emakhu A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Crystal Palace
69.2% | Draw
20% | Millwall
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Crystal Palace - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.34) |
4.73 ↓
(4.88) |
8.73 ↑
(8.51) |
3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 17 - 85%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 69.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crystal Palace will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4.
- Crystal Palace is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Millwall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Crystal Palace is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C.
(Knee Injury)
Nketiah E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Riad C.
(Knee Injury)
Sarr I.
(Thigh Injury)
Wharton A.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Ankle Injury)
De Norre C.
(Injury)
Doughty A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lamptey R.
(Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Millwall?
Crystal Palace has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Crystal Palace?
Millwall has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Millwall were as follows:
12.07.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Millwall
1:0
01.03.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Millwall
3:1
Latest results of Crystal Palace
Latest results of Millwall
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 9 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 13 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 16 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 17 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 27 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 31 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 33 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 35 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 38 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 41 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 43 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 45 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 47 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 48 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 49 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 51 | Everton | Bye | |
| 52 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 58 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 59 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 9 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 14 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 16 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 22 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 24 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 29 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Barnsley | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Newcastle | Bradford City | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Tottenham | Doncaster | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Reading | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Burnley | Cardiff | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Liverpool | Southampton | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wolves | Everton | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Lincoln | Chelsea | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Wigan | Wycombe | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arsenal | Brighton | |
| 2 | Grimsby | Brentford | |
| 3 | Swansea | Manchester City | |
| 4 | Newcastle | Tottenham | |
| 5 | Wrexham | Cardiff | |
| 6 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | |
| 7 | Wolves | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Wycombe | Fulham | |
