Middlesbrough vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
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czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
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indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+
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netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
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swedenSwedenViaplay
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tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.120.79
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
3211
Shots on target
55
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
176
Passes
76% (320/419)65% (177/273)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
3.120.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.220.85
Total shots
3211
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
193
Shots inside the box
277
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
176
Touches in opposition box
6920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
144
Passes
76% (320/419)65% (177/273)
Long passes
31% (16/52)29% (16/55)
Passes in final third
69% (107/154)53% (44/83)
Crosses
33% (12/36)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
2.181.27
Throw ins
2417
Fouls
414
Tackles
64% (7/11)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5640
Clearances
1736
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
0.851.22
Goals prevented
-1.150.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', McGree R. 🟨,
  • 13', Cooper J. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Fry D. , Browne A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Coburn J. , Ivanovic M. (A),
  • 64', De Norre C. , Bannan B. ,
  • 78', Targett M. , Bangura A. ,
  • 85', Ivanovic M. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Coburn J. , Bannan B. (A),
  • 89', Brittain C. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 90+5', Mitchell B. , Cundle L. ,
  • 90+5', Azeez F. , McNamara D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
54.4%
Draw
24.7%
Millwall
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 23.8% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 25.8% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Middlesbrough - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.74)
    3.84
    (3.98)
    4.59
    (4.32)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 8 - 25%). Millwall will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 49.1%82.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Millwall (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Millwall (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Millwall (4.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millwall will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3.
    • Middlesbrough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Millwall is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Middlesbrough is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Jones A. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Silvera S. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Hackney H. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: De Norre C. (Groin Injury) Doughty A. (Calf Injury) Leonard R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Millwall were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 0:3
    12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0
    14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    13.01.2024 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:3
    05.08.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0:1
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Millwall
    21.03.2026 Ipswich Town - Millwall 1:1
    10.03.2026 Millwall - Derby County 1:0
    07.03.2026 Hull City - Millwall 1:3
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry ✔ 452711793:454892
    2Ipswich452215877:473081
    3Millwall4523111162:491380
    4Middlesbrough4522131070:452579
    5Southampton ✔ 4521141079:552477
    6Wrexham4519131367:63470
    7Hull4520101568:65370
    8Derby452091666:57969
    9Norwich451981862:54865
    10Birmingham4517121656:55163
    11Swansea4517101854:58-461
    12Preston4515151554:59-560
    13Bristol City4516111857:59-259
    14QPR4516101961:70-958
    15Sheffield Utd451762264:65-157
    16Watford4514151653:61-857
    17Stoke4515102051:54-355
    18Portsmouth4514121948:63-1554
    19Charlton4513141843:55-1253
    20Blackburn4513131942:55-1352
    21West Brom4513141847:56-951
    22Oxford Utd ✔ 4511142045:57-1247
    23Leicester ✔ 4511161857:68-1143
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 451123227:88-61-3

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
    Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
    Leicester is Relegated to League One
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One