Dynamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

VTB Arena (Moscow).

Premier League - Round 5
Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	1.70
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
23	10
Shots on target
8	6
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
83% (396/479)	75% (256/343)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	2.76
Total shots
23	10
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
15	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
14	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	6
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
83% (396/479)	75% (256/343)
Long passes
57% (40/70)	39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
75% (109/146)	61% (55/90)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	1.10
Throw-ins
15	27
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
60% (6/10)	38% (3/8)
Duels won
45	41
Clearances
20	23
Interceptions
14	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
2.76	0.74
Goals prevented
-0.24	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Matheus Alves ⚽, Musaev T. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Gajic M. ⚽, Matheus Alves (A),
42', 0 - 3, Kislyak M. ⚽, Moises (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zaynutdinov B. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
47', Krugovoy D. 🟨,
50', 1 - 3, Makarov D. ⚽, Skopintsev D. (A),
62', Moises 🟨,
62', Caceres J. 🟨,
77', Matheus Alves ↓, Bandikyan A. ↑,
77', Makarov D. ↓, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↑,
79', Lukin M. 🟨,
84', Oblyakov I. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Dynamo Moscow
37.3%

Draw
27.5%

CSKA Moscow
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.5)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)	3.6% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 10%). CSKA will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is .

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 1.
Dynamo M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
CSKA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
CSKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes (Achilles Tendon Injury) Chavez L. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in CSKA: Shumansky A. (Muscle Injury) Villagra R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dynamo M: Majstorovic M. (Injury) Tyukavin K. (Lacking Match Fitness)
There are questionable in CSKA: Alerrandro (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against CSKA Moscow?

Dynamo Moscow has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Dynamo Moscow?

CSKA Moscow has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow were as follows:

16.04.2025 Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow 0:0

06.04.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 3:1

12.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 2:1

06.10.2024 Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow 1:2

24.02.2024 Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow 2:1

Latest results of Dynamo Moscow

13.08.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar 0:4 ✺

10.08.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow 1:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Sochi 3:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Rostov 1:0 ✺

Latest results of CSKA Moscow

12.08.2025 Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan 5:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 1:1 ✺

30.07.2025 CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	9	6	1	2	20:7	13	19
2	CSKA Moscow	9	5	3	1	18:8	10	18
3	Baltika	9	4	5	0	13:5	8	17
4	Lokomotiv Moscow	9	4	5	0	20:13	7	17
5	Zenit	9	4	4	1	15:7	8	16
6	Spartak Moscow	9	4	3	2	14:14	0	15
7	Rubin Kazan	9	4	3	2	13:14	-1	15
8	Dynamo Moscow	9	3	3	3	12:10	2	12
9	Akhmat Grozny	9	3	3	3	11:11	0	12
10	Krylya Sovetov	9	3	3	3	14:16	-2	12
11	FK Rostov	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	9	2	3	4	5:11	-6	9
13	Orenburg	9	1	4	4	11:16	-5	7
14	Akron Togliatti	9	1	4	4	12:14	-2	7
15	Pari NN	9	2	0	7	8:17	-9	6
16	Sochi	9	0	1	8	5:24	-19	1

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL