Result
1:3
17/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.99 | 1.70 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (396/479) | 75% (256/343) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.99 | 1.70 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.74 | 2.76 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
15 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
83% (396/479) | 75% (256/343) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (40/70) | 39% (22/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (109/146) | 61% (55/90) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 33% (2/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.11 | 1.10 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (6/10) | 38% (3/8) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.76 | 0.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.24 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 13', 0 - 1, Matheus Alves ⚽, Musaev T. (A),
- 21', 0 - 2, Gajic M. ⚽, Matheus Alves (A),
- 42', 0 - 3, Kislyak M. ⚽, Moises (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zaynutdinov B. ↓, Skopintsev D. ↑,
- 47', Krugovoy D. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 3, Makarov D. ⚽, Skopintsev D. (A),
- 62', Moises 🟨,
- 62', Caceres J. 🟨,
- 77', Matheus Alves ↓, Bandikyan A. ↑,
- 77', Makarov D. ↓, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↑,
- 79', Lukin M. 🟨,
- 84', Oblyakov I. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Moscow 37.3% | Draw 27.5% | CSKA Moscow 35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↑ (2.5) |
3.51 ↑ (3.45) |
2.74 ↑ (2.6) |
3.6% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 10%). CSKA will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 1.
- Dynamo M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- CSKA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- CSKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Chavez L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in CSKA: Shumansky A.
(Muscle Injury)
Villagra R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dynamo M: Majstorovic M.
(Injury)
Tyukavin K.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in CSKA: Alerrandro
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dynamo M won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo M won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against CSKA Moscow?
Dynamo Moscow has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Dynamo Moscow?
CSKA Moscow has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow were as follows:
16.04.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
0:0
06.04.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
3:1
12.03.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:1
06.10.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
1:2
24.02.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
2:1
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL