CSKA Moscow vs Dynamo Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.472.23
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1324
Shots on target
37
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
89
Passes
85% (456/535)82% (332/405)
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.472.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.112.78
Total shots
1324
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
910
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
412
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
3027
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
158
Passes
85% (456/535)82% (332/405)
Long passes
49% (20/41)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
67% (80/120)79% (86/109)
Crosses
17% (4/24)28% (8/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.37
Throw ins
1712
Fouls
815
Tackles
64% (7/11)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5137
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
2.781.11
Goals prevented
-1.220.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Marichal N. , Bitello (A),
  • 17', Gondou L. 🟥,
  • 30', Marichal N. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 0 - 2, Marichal N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Skopintsev D. , Zaydenzal L. ,
  • 52', Rubens 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Moises , Joao Victor (A),
  • 59', Arthur Gomes , Marinkin T. ,
  • 59', Rubens , Gladyshev Y. ,
  • 62', Barinov D. , Matheus Alves ,
  • 62', Gajic M. , Musaev T. ,
  • 66', 1 - 3, Bitello , Tyukavin K. (A),
  • 73', Tyukavin K. , Kutitsky A. ,
  • 74', Zaydenzal L. , Sergeev I. ,
  • 75', Oblyakov I. , Voronov M. ,
  • 76', Glebov K. , Kozlov D. ,
  • 84', 1 - 4, Caceres J. , Sergeev I. (A),
  • 85', Krugovoy D. , Henrique Carmo ,

Chances of winning


CSKA Moscow
42.2%
Draw
26.5%
Dynamo Moscow
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 26.7% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 25.9% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.12)
    3.6
    (3.45)
    3.06
    (3.08)
    4.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
    06.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 1:1
    17.08.2025 Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow 1:3
    16.04.2025 Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    06.04.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 3:1
    12.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 2:1
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    04.03.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 3:1
    18.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Rostov 3:1
    10.02.2026 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 2:3
    Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
    16.02.2026 Ural - Dynamo Moscow 1:2
    16.02.2026 Ural - Dynamo Moscow 2:1
    10.02.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar 1:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar24165349:173253
    2Zenit24157244:172752
    3Lokomotiv Moscow24129350:331745
    4Baltika241111234:132144
    5CSKA Moscow24133836:261042
    6Spartak Moscow24126638:32642
    7Dynamo Moscow2497843:35834
    8Rubin Kazan2497823:25-234
    9Akhmat Grozny2487929:31-231
    10FK Rostov24681019:26-726
    11Dynamo Makhachkala24581115:30-1523
    12Akron Togliatti24571230:43-1322
    13Krylya Sovetov24571225:44-1922
    14Pari NN24631520:39-1921
    15Orenburg24481224:36-1220
    16Sochi24331821:53-3212

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL