Result
0:2
14/03/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (359/418) | 73% (161/220) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (359/418) | 73% (161/220) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (14/39) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/88) | 53% (29/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Colorado A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Colorado A. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Hurtado A. ⚽, Dinenno J. (A),
- 65', Berdugo L. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
- 68', Duarte Barajas E. M. 🟨,
- 68', Caldera Alvis J. C. 🟨,
- 71', Valencia J. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
- 74', Viafara F. 🟨,
- 78', Dinenno J. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 78', Viafara F. ↓, Luis Orejuela ↑,
- 78', Alvarez F. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 2, Hurtado A. ⚽, Caldera Alvis J. C. (A),
- 80', Arizalas E. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
- 80', Mejia V. ↓, Agudelo J. ↑,
- 85', Rios L. 🟥,
- 89', Hurtado A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yvuubrue
Chances of winning
Cúcuta Deportivo
27.3% | Draw
31.9% | Deportivo Cali
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-1%)
Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(3.18) |
2.99 ↓
(3.12) |
2.29
(2.29) |
6.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cúcuta will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 88.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 72.9% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 0.
- Cúcuta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportivo Cali has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Deportivo Cali?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Deportivo Cali has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
