Result
2:2
01/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 24
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (312/371) | 84% (305/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (312/371) | 84% (305/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 75% (83/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 24% (9/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.36 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', Luan Polli 🟨,
- 27', Marcelo Henrique 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Edson Lucas (A),
- 34', Edson Lucas 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Alan Empereur (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 46', Jader ↓, David Miguel ↑,
- 46', Marcelo Henrique ↓, Max Alves ↑,
- 55', Juninho 🟨,
- 58', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
- 60', David Miguel 🟨,
- 61', Alan Empereur 🟨,
- 64', Carlos Alberto ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
- 68', Ze Hugo ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 69', Ian Luccas ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Alisson Safira ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
- 77', 2 - 2, Alisson Safira ⚽, Juan Christian (A),
- 81', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 81', Juninho ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 87', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 90+1', Ronaldo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
35.9% | Draw
32.7% | Cuiabá
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Ferroviária - Cuiabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.38) |
2.85 ↓
(3) |
2.97 ↓
(3.25) |
7.1%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Cuiabá?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 10).
- Ferroviária is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cuiabá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Fabricio Daniel
(Red Card)
Maycon
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y.
(Injury)
Denilson Alves
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Mineiro
(Yellow Cards)
Mateus Pasinato
(Inactive)
Sander
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur
(Injury)
Matheusinho
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Cuiabá?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cuiabá won against Ferroviária?
Cuiabá has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Cuiabá were as follows:
27.04.2025
Cuiabá
-
Ferroviária
1:0
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
