Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (273/345) | 74% (252/341) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (273/345) | 74% (252/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/109) | 55% (55/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Kotzebue V. ⚽, Sadi D. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽,
- 37', Djordjevic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Mijovic L. 🟨,
- 55', Miletic N. 🟨,
- 60', Kotzebue V. ↓, Rusevic A. ↑,
- 60', Togbe S. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
- 60', Alilovic Z. ↓, Alic S. ↑,
- 66', Mijovic L. ↓, Tedic S. ↑,
- 68', Rusevic A. 🟨,
- 77', Djokovic M. 🟥,
- 82', Matijasevic F. ↓, Miladinovic U. ↑,
- 82', Djordjevic L. ↓, Mijailovic S. ↑,
- 82', Cisse A. ↓, Nikcevic B. ↑,
- 85', Davidovic I. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 90+8', Backulja F. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 90+12', Docic M. ↓, Tomovic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Novi Pazar 45.2% | Draw 27.8% | Čukarički 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Novi Pazar - Čukarički Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↓ (2.13) |
3.33 ↑ (3.26) |
3.4 ↑ (3.26) |
8.1% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Novi Pazar - Čukarički?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Novi Pazar (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Novi Pazar will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Novi Pazar will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Novi Pazar (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 1.
- Novi Pazar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Čukarički has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Čukarički may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Novi Pazar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Novi Pazar won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novi Pazar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Novi Pazar won against Čukarički?
Novi Pazar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Čukarički won against Novi Pazar?
Čukarički has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novi Pazar - Čukarički were as follows:
19.10.2025
Čukarički
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
17.02.2025
Čukarički
-
Novi Pazar
1:1
15.09.2024
Novi Pazar
-
Čukarički
2:2
29.03.2024
Čukarički
-
Novi Pazar
2:0
20.10.2023
Novi Pazar
-
Čukarički
1:0
Latest results of Novi Pazar
Latest results of Čukarički
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )