Result
2:0
08/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 74', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gualaceo
51.7% | Draw
27.9% | Cumbayá
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gualaceo's performance.Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cumbayá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gualaceo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cumbayá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gualaceo - Cumbayá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(2.12) |
3.27 ↑
(2.95) |
4.47 ↑
(3.4) |
9.8%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gualaceo - Cumbayá?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cumbayá will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gualaceo: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gualaceo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Gualaceo is the team to beat.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against Cumbayá?
Gualaceo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Gualaceo?
Cumbayá has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gualaceo - Cumbayá were as follows:
30.04.2025
Cumbayá
-
Gualaceo
0:2
18.09.2023
Gualaceo
-
Cumbayá
0:3
16.04.2023
Cumbayá
-
Gualaceo
1:0
Latest results of Gualaceo
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leones del Norte | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 | Nueve de Octubre | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | Gualaceo | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 25:24 | 1 | 31 |
| 4 | Guayaquil City | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Ind. Juniors | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Cumbaya | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 26 |
| 8 | Atletico Vinotinto | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 31:24 | 7 | 25 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | 22 de Julio | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:29 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | Imbabura ✔ | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | Chacaritas ✔ | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
Chacaritas is Serie B (Relegation Group )
