Libertad Loja vs Cumbayá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Libertad Loja - Cumbayá
Result
2:1
04/10/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorZapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
66
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
32
Free Kicks
1927
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
43
Throw-ins
2427
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Fouls
2116
Yellow Cards
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Paredes J. (Pen),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Avila D. , Penilla C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez L. , Bardales W. ,
  • 53', Caicedo B. 🟨,
  • 56', Diaz M. , Caicedo B. ,
  • 56', Valencia M. , Almagro A. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Penilla C. (Pen),
  • 69', Penilla C. 🟨,
  • 76', Avila D. , Avila F. ,
  • 78', Padilla J. , Ontivero L. ,
  • 84', Angulo L. , Angulo Avila E. A. ,
  • 87', Rivera K. , Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ,
  • 87', Gustavino L. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 88', Zambrano I. , Obando C. ,
  • 89', Avila F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Molina N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Libertad Loja
58.8%
Draw
25.3%
Cumbayá
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 28% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 28.8% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.
  • Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Libertad Loja - Cumbayá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.82)
    3.63
    (3.34)
    5.72
    (4.55)
    9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Cumbayá?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15).
    • Recent matches Libertad is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cumbayá is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Libertad have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Libertad is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Cumbayá were as follows:
    17.04.2024 Cumbayá - Libertad Loja 0:0
    02.12.2023 Libertad Loja - Cumbayá 3:1
    17.06.2023 Cumbayá - Libertad Loja 2:1
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Latest results of Cumbayá
    28.09.2024 Cumbayá - Emelec 1:0
    21.09.2024 Cumbayá - SD Aucas 0:3
    15.09.2024 El Nacional - Cumbayá 2:1
    02.09.2024 Cumbayá - Imbabura 1:2
    24.08.2024 Mushuc Runa - Cumbayá 0:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

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