Result
2:1
04/10/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Paredes J. (Pen),
- 25', 1 - 1, Avila D. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gomez L. ↓, Bardales W. ↑,
- 53', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 56', Diaz M. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 56', Valencia M. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Penilla C. (Pen),
- 69', Penilla C. 🟨,
- 76', Avila D. ↓, Avila F. ↑,
- 78', Padilla J. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
- 84', Angulo L. ↓, Angulo Avila E. A. ↑,
- 87', Rivera K. ↓, Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ↑,
- 87', Gustavino L. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 88', Zambrano I. ↓, Obando C. ↑,
- 89', Avila F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Molina N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
58.8% | Draw
25.3% | Cumbayá
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Libertad Loja - Cumbayá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.82) |
3.63 ↑
(3.34) |
5.72 ↑
(4.55) |
9%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Cumbayá?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- Recent matches Libertad is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cumbayá is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Libertad have a series of guest games.
- In this match Libertad is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Cumbayá?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cumbayá won against Libertad Loja?
Cumbayá has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Cumbayá were as follows:
17.04.2024
Cumbayá
-
Libertad Loja
0:0
02.12.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Cumbayá
3:1
17.06.2023
Cumbayá
-
Libertad Loja
2:1
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Cumbayá
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
