Libertad Loja vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/05/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja).

Liga Pro - Round 12
Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.57	1.59
Ball possession
38%	62%
Total shots
16	19
Shots on target
6	9
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	5
Passes
73% (203/278)	82% (382/467)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.57	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.89	2.19
Total shots
16	19
Shots on target
6	9
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
9	11
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
14	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
14	12
Passes
73% (203/278)	82% (382/467)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
60% (52/87)	71% (93/131)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	0.88
Throw ins
16	23
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
82% (9/11)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
43	44
Clearances
20	10
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	3
xGOT faced
2.19	0.89
Goals prevented
0.19	-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Chere A. ⚽, Castro S. (A),
35', Caicedo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Porozo S. ⚽, Preciado E. (A),
67', 1 - 2, Quinonez R. ⚽, Porozo S. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Guisamano J. ⚽, Cortez Casierra G. J. (A),
72', Castro S. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
72', Quinonez R. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
72', Mena A. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
73', Tapiero S. 🟨,
75', 3 - 2, Cortez Casierra G. J. ⚽,
77', Cortez Casierra G. J. 🟨,
86', Bolanos R. 🟨,
90+1', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
90+1', Chere A. ↓, Lucas M. ↑,
90+8', Guisamano J. ↓, Zambrano R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Libertad Loja
21.4%

Draw
27.5%

SD Aucas
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Loja's form might have worsened.

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Loja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Libertad Loja - SD Aucas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.23)	3.35 ↑ (3.18)	1.82 ↓ (2.15)	7.9% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - SD Aucas?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
Libertad has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Aucas is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Aucas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against SD Aucas?

Libertad Loja has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Libertad Loja?

SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - SD Aucas were as follows:

22.08.2025 Libertad Loja - SD Aucas 3:2

05.05.2025 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0

26.10.2024 Libertad Loja - SD Aucas 1:1

04.09.2024 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 0:1

05.05.2024 SD Aucas - Libertad Loja 2:0

Latest results of Libertad Loja

26.04.2026 Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja 3:0 ✺

21.04.2026 Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City 0:1 ✺

18.04.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 2:0 ✺

11.04.2026 Orense - Libertad Loja 2:1 ✺

06.04.2026 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:2 ✺

Latest results of SD Aucas

27.04.2026 SD Aucas - Delfín 1:0 ✺

22.04.2026 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 0:0 ✺

17.04.2026 Leones del Norte - SD Aucas 0:1 ✺

12.04.2026 SD Aucas - Emelec 2:0 ✺

05.04.2026 Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas 0:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	12	9	1	2	22:13	9	28
2	U. Catolica	12	6	4	2	21:8	13	22
3	Barcelona SC	12	5	5	2	13:10	3	20
4	Aucas	12	5	4	3	14:11	3	19
5	Guayaquil City	12	5	3	4	10:11	-1	18
6	LDU Quito	12	5	2	5	10:10	0	17
7	Dep. Cuenca	12	5	2	5	14:16	-2	17
8	Mushuc Runa	12	4	4	4	15:13	2	16
9	Macara	12	4	4	4	13:12	1	16
10	Orense	12	4	4	4	17:17	0	16
11	Delfin	12	4	3	5	5:6	-1	15
12	Emelec	12	4	2	6	9:15	-6	14
13	Leones del Norte	12	3	4	5	10:12	-2	13
14	Libertad	12	3	4	5	11:16	-5	13
15	Tecnico U	12	3	2	7	9:13	-4	11
16	Manta	12	2	2	8	4:14	-10	8

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )