Result
1:0
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Cori V. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (535/591) | 82% (252/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (535/591) | 82% (252/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 41% (18/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (46/74) | 58% (38/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Valenzuela O. (A),
- 44', Ysique F. 🟨,
- 45', Gamarra C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Ysique F. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑,
- 58', Perleche E. 🟨,
- 65', Olmedo L. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 65', Illanes F. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 77', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 78', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 78', Guzman P. 🟨,
- 82', Benincasa H. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 82', Perez J. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
- 82', Silva N. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 87', Zevallos J. 🟨,
- 89', Callejo F. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 89', Da Silva P. ↓, Aoki A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cusco
67.2% | Draw
21.2% | Alianza Atlético
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Cusco - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.38) |
4.43 ↓
(4.7) |
8.05 ↑
(7.9) |
7%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cusco - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cusco: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.
- Cusco is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Alianza Atlético has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cusco is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Lupu H.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cusco: Colitto L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Espinosa R.
(Injury)
del Castillo J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Cusco will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Alianza Atlético?
Cusco has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cusco?
Alianza Atlético has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
28.03.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Cusco
2:4
15.08.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Cusco
1:1
07.03.2024
Cusco
-
Alianza Atlético
2:0
22.07.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Cusco
2:0
19.02.2023
Cusco
-
Alianza Atlético
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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