Result
2:4
28/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 2.37 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
84% (317/377) | 80% (275/343) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.87 | 2.37 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.61 | 3.55 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 26 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
84% (317/377) | 80% (275/343) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (34/62) | 39% (20/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (90/126) | 67% (51/76) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (9/32) | 35% (6/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.70 | 1.22 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (11/12) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 33 |
Clearances Total |
---|
15 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.55 | 1.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.45 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 5', 0 - 1, Ampuero A. ⚽, Gamarra C. (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Canela Torres J. J. ⚽, Graneros A. (A),
- 14', 1 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 22', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 3, Colman I. ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 3, Cossio A. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vasquez C. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
- 56', Ysique F. 🟨,
- 60', Silva N. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
- 67', Perez J. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 71', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 72', Cossio A. ↓, Javier Navea ↑,
- 72', Olmedo L. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
- 80', Da Silva P. 🟨,
- 81', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 81', Colman I. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 82', Graneros A. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 89', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 4, Tevez J. ⚽,
- 90+8', Canela Torres J. J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético 52.8% | Draw 28.2% | Cusco 19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Alianza Atlético - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.77 ↑ (1.63) |
3.32 ↓ (3.72) |
4.92 ↓ (5.62) |
7% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Cusco?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Atlético will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.
- Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cusco is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cusco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alianza Atlético is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:22 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Cusco?
Alianza Atlético has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Alianza Atlético?
Cusco has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Cusco were as follows:
15.08.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Cusco
1:1
07.03.2024
Cusco
-
Alianza Atlético
2:0
22.07.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Cusco
2:0
19.02.2023
Cusco
-
Alianza Atlético
2:1
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )