Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/10/2025 at  19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 15
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.80 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 58% | 42% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 7 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 88% (383/437) | 82% (274/333) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.80 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.80 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 7 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 27 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 88% (383/437) | 82% (274/333) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 38% (23/60) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (98/134) | 58% (49/84) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 22% (2/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.05 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 40% (4/10) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 32 | 41 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 17 | 37 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.34 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.34 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
 - 20', Fuentes A. 🟨, 
 - 28', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨, 
 - 29', Torrejon C. 🟨, 
 - 37', 0 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽, Colman I. (A), 
 - 43', 0 - 2, Tevez J. ⚽, Colman I. (A), 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 0)
 - 53', Fuentes A. 🟨, 
 - 57', Silva N. ↓, Milesi A. ↑, 
 - 63', Ruidias M. 🟨, 
 - 65', Tevez J. 🟨, 
 - 67', Diaz P. 🟨, 
 - 70', Tevez J. ↓, Custodio A. ↑, 
 - 70', Souza Espana C. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑, 
 - 70', Colitto L. ↓, Aucca M. ↑, 
 - 71', Galeano L. ↓, Neira C. ↑, 
 - 72', 1 - 2, Hohberg A. ⚽, 
 - 81', Colman I. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑, 
 - 83', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ramua A. ↑, 
 - 83', Torrejon C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑, 
 - 83', Da Silva B. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Cienciano  40% | Draw  28.9% | Cusco  31.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cienciano - Cusco Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.34 ↑ (2.18) | 
			   3.25 ↓ (3.26) | 
			   2.99 ↓ (3.27) | 
			   7% (7.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Cienciano - Cusco?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            5 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.
 - Cienciano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Cusco's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - Cienciano could have a small edge in this match.
 - There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
 - In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:1).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Cusco?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cienciano has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Cienciano?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cusco has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Cusco were as follows:
                                                        
                                13.06.2025 
                                Cusco 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.09.2024 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Cusco 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Cusco 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.07.2023 
                                Cusco 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                10.02.2023 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Cusco 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cienciano                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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