Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Santos C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (352/418) | 77% (225/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (352/418) | 77% (225/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (70/99) | 67% (57/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Ampuero A. 🟨,
- 38', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 41', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
- 45', Colman I. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Manzaneda J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 64', Aguilar R. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 65', Martinich M. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 74', Silva N. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
- 74', Robles A. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Hohberg A. ⚽,
- 83', Bolivar J. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Garces C. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
- 90', Garces C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cusco
40.9% | Draw
27.8% | Cienciano
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cusco's form might have worsened.Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cienciano's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cusco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cienciano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cusco - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(1.86) |
3.37 ↓
(3.64) |
2.95 ↓
(3.86) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.
- Cusco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cienciano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Cienciano?
Cusco has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Cusco?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Cienciano were as follows:
18.10.2025
Cienciano
-
Cusco
1:2
13.06.2025
Cusco
-
Cienciano
0:0
28.09.2024
Cienciano
-
Cusco
1:2
27.04.2024
Cusco
-
Cienciano
2:0
16.07.2023
Cusco
-
Cienciano
0:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
