Cwmbran Celtic vs Caerau Ely – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely
Result
0:2
10/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Redhead O. ,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Hywel D. ,

Chances of winning


Cwmbran Celtic
10.3%
Draw
18.4%
Caerau Ely
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.7% 20.1% 63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16% 19.3% 65.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cwmbran Celtic's form might have worsened.
  • Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caerau Ely's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cwmbran Celtic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caerau Ely, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.14
    (5.44)
    5.1
    (4.5)
    1.32
    (1.44)
    6.6%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
    • Cwmbran Celtic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Caerau is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Caerau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Caerau is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cwmbran Celtic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cwmbran Celtic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic 1:2
    05.10.2024 Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely 3:2
    12.01.2024 Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic 4:2
    21.10.2023 Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely 3:2
    Latest results of Cwmbran Celtic
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United1181227:72025
    2Caerau Ely1072123:91423
    3Trefelin1063122:81421
    4Cardiff Draconians1162316:8820
    5Carmarthen Town1155112:6620
    6Ammanford1155112:9320
    7Newport City1154218:13519
    8Aberystwyth1052311:9217
    9Llantwit Major1134413:14-113
    10Trethomas Bluebirds1125415:21-611
    11Baglan Dragons1116414:15-19
    12Treowen1123617:28-119
    13Pontypridd1122715:23-88
    14Afan Lido1122710:20-108
    15Ynyshir Albions101368:22-146
    16Cwmbran Celtic110388:29-213

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation