Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1210
Fouls
1011
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Lee Dong-Jun 🟨,
  • 45+4', Maeng Seong-Ung 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Choi Ye-Hoon , Park Cheol-Woo ,
  • 46', Lee Dong-Jun , Lee Dong-Gyeong ,
  • 46', Jeong Jae-sang , Jeong Heon-taek ,
  • 46', Lee Yong-Rae , Kim Jung-Hyeon ,
  • 62', Jeong Chi-In , Park Dae-Hoon ,
  • 63', Maeng Seong-Ung , Lee Seung-Won ,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Jang Sung-won , Cesinha (A),
  • 75', Min Kyeong-Hyeon , Kim Yi-Seok ,
  • 86', Kim Seung-Sub , Won Ki-Jong ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Caio Marcelo , Cesinha (A),
  • 90+2', Kim Ju-Gong , Edgar ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Lee Dong-Gyeong (Pen),
  • 90+5', Park Tae-Jun 🟨,
  • 90+13', Kim Jung-Hyeon , Jo Jin-Woo ,

Chances of winning


Gimcheon Sangmu
54.1%
Draw
23.7%
Daegu
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 20.6% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 20.1% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimcheon Sangmu's form might have worsened.
  • Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.52)
    4.03
    (4.52)
    4.32
    (5.14)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Daegu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 4.
    • Gimcheon Sangmu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Daegu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gimcheon Sangmu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gimcheon Sangmu is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:3
    05.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu 2:0
    16.08.2024 Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu 3:0
    29.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu 2:0
    03.03.2024 Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu 0:1
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    Latest results of Daegu
    30.08.2025 Daegu - Suwon 3:1
    23.08.2025 Daegu - Jeju 2:2
    08.08.2025 FC Seoul - Daegu 2:2
    04.08.2025 Daegu - Barcelona 0:5
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk33218457:273071
    2Gimcheon Sangmu331671053:371655
    3Daejeon331510848:41755
    4Pohang331561240:43-351
    5Seoul3311121043:42145
    6Gangwon3311111132:36-444
    7Anyang331261542:41142
    8Gwangju FC331191334:40-642
    9Ulsan HD3310101339:43-440
    10Suwon FC331081548:53-538
    11Jeju SK33881735:47-1232
    12Daegu33691841:62-2127

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )