Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1210
Fouls
1011
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Lee Dong-Jun 🟨,
  • 45+4', Maeng Seong-Ung 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Choi Ye-Hoon , Park Cheol-Woo ,
  • 46', Lee Dong-Jun , Lee Dong-Gyeong ,
  • 46', Jeong Jae-sang , Jeong Heon-taek ,
  • 46', Lee Yong-Rae , Kim Jung-Hyeon ,
  • 62', Jeong Chi-In , Park Dae-Hoon ,
  • 63', Maeng Seong-Ung , Lee Seung-Won ,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Jang Sung-won , Cesinha (A),
  • 75', Min Kyeong-Hyeon , Kim Yi-Seok ,
  • 86', Kim Seung-Sub , Won Ki-Jong ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Caio Marcelo , Cesinha (A),
  • 90+2', Kim Ju-Gong , Edgar ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Lee Dong-Gyeong (Pen),
  • 90+5', Park Tae-Jun 🟨,
  • 90+13', Kim Jung-Hyeon , Jo Jin-Woo ,

Chances of winning


Gimcheon Sangmu
54.1%
Draw
23.7%
Daegu
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 20.6% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 20.1% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimcheon Sangmu's form might have worsened.
  • Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.52)
    4.03
    (4.52)
    4.32
    (5.14)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Daegu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 4.
    • Gimcheon Sangmu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Daegu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gimcheon Sangmu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gimcheon Sangmu is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:3
    05.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu 2:0
    16.08.2024 Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu 3:0
    29.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu 2:0
    03.03.2024 Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu 0:1
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    Latest results of Daegu
    30.08.2025 Daegu - Suwon 3:1
    23.08.2025 Daegu - Jeju 2:2
    08.08.2025 FC Seoul - Daegu 2:2
    04.08.2025 Daegu - Barcelona 0:5
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 32208455:272868
    2Gimcheon Sangmu ✔ 31157949:331652
    3Daejeon ✔ 311310842:39349
    4Pohang311461137:39-248
    5Seoul311111941:39244
    6Gwangju FC321191234:38-442
    7Gangwon311191129:33-442
    8Anyang311151537:39-238
    9Suwon FC311071447:50-337
    10Ulsan HD319101237:40-337
    11Jeju SK ✔ 32881634:44-1032
    12Daegu ✔ 32681839:60-2126

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Gimcheon Sangmu is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daejeon is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Jeju SK is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )