Gwangju vs Daegu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Gwangju - Daegu
Result
2:3
04/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, Sky Sports Korea
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Total shots
910
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
38
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
138
Fouls
613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
  • 5', 0 - 1, Cesinha (Pen),
  • 31', Moon Min-seo , Yu Je-Ho ,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Jeong Jae-sang , Cesinha (A),
  • 41', 1 - 2, Reis (Pen),
  • 45', Jeong Jae-sang , Hong Jung-Woon ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jeong J. , Park In-Hyeok ,
  • 46', Kim Ju-Gong , Park Dae-Hoon ,
  • 51', 2 - 2, Oh Hoo-Sung (Pen),
  • 67', Hong Jung-Woon , Edgar ,
  • 67', Bruno Lamas , Kim Hyeon-jun ,
  • 70', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
  • 76', Jeong Chi-In , Reis G. ,
  • 82', Choi Kyoung-Rok , Ahn Young-Kyu ,
  • 82', Lee K. , Ha Seung-Un ,
  • 86', Jeong Heon-taek 🟨,
  • 87', Edgar 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sim Sang-Min , Lee Min-Ki ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 3, Cesinha (Pen),

Chances of winning


Gwangju
45.5%
Draw
27.6%
Daegu
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 25.1% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 24.5% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwangju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Gwangju - Daegu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.89)
    3.53
    (3.79)
    3.57
    (3.89)
    2.1%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gwangju - Daegu?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 2.
    • Gwangju is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Daegu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Gwangju has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Gwangju is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gwangju - Daegu were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Daegu - Gwangju 1:1
    09.04.2025 Gwangju - Daegu 2:1
    18.10.2024 Gwangju - Daegu 1:1
    21.07.2024 Daegu - Gwangju 0:1
    11.05.2024 Daegu - Gwangju 3:2
    Latest results of Gwangju
    28.09.2025 Anyang - Gwangju 0:0
    21.09.2025 FC Seoul - Gwangju 3:0
    14.09.2025 Suwon - Gwangju 2:4
    30.08.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    27.08.2025 Bucheon - Gwangju 1:2
    Latest results of Daegu
    27.09.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:1
    20.09.2025 Daejeon Citizen - Daegu 3:2
    14.09.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu 1:2
    30.08.2025 Daegu - Suwon 3:1
    23.08.2025 Daegu - Jeju 2:2
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk ✔ 32208455:272868
    2Gimcheon Sangmu ✔ 31157949:331652
    3Daejeon ✔ 311310842:39349
    4Pohang311461137:39-248
    5Seoul311111941:39244
    6Gwangju FC321191234:38-442
    7Gangwon311191129:33-442
    8Anyang311151537:39-238
    9Suwon FC311071447:50-337
    10Ulsan HD319101237:40-337
    11Jeju SK ✔ 32881634:44-1032
    12Daegu ✔ 32681839:60-2126

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Gimcheon Sangmu is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Daejeon is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    Jeju SK is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
    Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )