Result
0:3
30/11/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Championship Group - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Kim Hyeon-oh ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, Seo Jin-Su ⚽, Ishida M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kim Joo-Chan ↓, Min Kyeong-Hyeon ↑,
- 46', Kim Tae-Hwan ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
- 48', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 2, Joao Victor ⚽, Seo Jin-Su (A),
- 68', Lee G. ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
- 70', Ishida M. ↓, Kim Jun-Beom ↑,
- 70', Hernades ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
- 73', 0 - 3, Seo Jin-Su ⚽, Kim Bong-Soo (A),
- 75', Lee Soon-Min 🟨,
- 75', Lee Soo-Bin ↓, Lee Chan-Wook ↑,
- 84', Seo Jin-Su ↓, Kim Han-Seo ↑,
- 84', Kim Moon-Hwan ↓, Kim Jin-Ya ↑,
- 84', Kim Min-Kyu ↓, Park Jin-Seong ↑,
Chances of winning
Gimcheon Sangmu
33.8% | Draw
27.5% | Daejeon Citizen
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.51) |
3.41 ↑
(3.32) |
2.45 ↓
(2.7) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Daejeon Citizen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Gimcheon Sangmu (1.98) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Daejeon Citizen (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 1.
- Gimcheon Sangmu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Daejeon Citizen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Daejeon Citizen has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against Daejeon Citizen?
Gimcheon Sangmu has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daejeon Citizen won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
Daejeon Citizen has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen were as follows:
31.08.2025
Daejeon Citizen
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
18.06.2025
Daejeon Citizen
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
19.04.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Daejeon Citizen
0:2
25.08.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Daejeon Citizen
2:2
25.06.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Daejeon Citizen
2:0
Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
Latest results of Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ulsan HD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Seoul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Daejeon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Pohang | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Anyang | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Gwangju FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Jeju SK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Jeonbuk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Incheon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Gangwon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
