Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 23
- Referee: Shin Yong-Jun (Kor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', Kim H. ↓, Hernades ↑,
- 38', Krivotsyuk A. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Erick Farias ⚽, Ludwigson G. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Lee Myung-Jae ⚽, Yu Kang-Hyun (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Baek In-Woo ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
- 46', Kim Han-Seo ↓, Kim Jun-Beom ↑,
- 46', Yu Kang-Hyun ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
- 58', Bojanic D. ↓, Jung Woo-Young ↑,
- 58', Kang Sang-Woo ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 58', Park Min-Seo ↓, Marcao ↑,
- 58', Hernades ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
- 81', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
- 85', Erick Farias ↓, Choi Seok-Hyun ↑,
- 88', Seo Jin-Su ↓, Kim Hyeon-Ug ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Kim Jun-Beom ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD
50.2% | Draw
25.8% | Daejeon Citizen
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan HD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Daejeon Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.02) |
3.65 ↑
(3.42) |
3.92 ↑
(3.79) |
6.7%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Daejeon Citizen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 3.
- Ulsan has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Daejeon Citizen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Daejeon Citizen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ulsan has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ulsan is a strong favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Daejeon Citizen?
Ulsan HD has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daejeon Citizen won against Ulsan HD?
Daejeon Citizen has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen were as follows:
01.04.2025
Ulsan HD
-
Daejeon Citizen
2:3
23.02.2025
Daejeon Citizen
-
Ulsan HD
0:2
27.09.2024
Daejeon Citizen
-
Ulsan HD
0:1
25.05.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Daejeon Citizen
4:1
02.04.2024
Daejeon Citizen
-
Ulsan HD
2:0
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 35:32 | 3 | 42 |
| 4 | Pohang | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 41 |
| 5 | Seoul | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 35 |
| 7 | Gangwon | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 35 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Suwon FC | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Jeju SK | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Anyang | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 30:35 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Daegu | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
