Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Young Boy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi).

Super League - Round 25
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	1.17
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	9
Passes
76% (272/359)	68% (189/276)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53	1.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.47	1.33
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	9
Touches in opposition box
24	26
Accurate through passes
1	3
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
76% (272/359)	68% (189/276)
Long passes
56% (39/70)	39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
61% (79/129)	54% (55/101)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	0.98
Throw-ins
26	22
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
71% (10/14)	71% (15/21)
Duels won
62	61
Clearances
25	43
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.33	0.47
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Daniel Penha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Liu Zhurun ↓, Malele C. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Tang Miao (A),
66', Cao Haiqing ↓, Wen Jiabao ↑,
67', Zhu P. 🟨,
80', Ye Chugui ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
80', Tang Miao ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
85', Labyad Z. ↓, Mao W. ↑,
90+1', Saeter J. ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
90+2', Liao Jintao ↓, Lu Peng ↑,
90+4', Daniel Penha 🟨,

Chances of winning

Yunnan Yukun
52.1%

Draw
23.9%

Dalian Young Boy
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.2%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Dalian Young Boy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Young Boy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Young Boy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.24)	3.94 ↑ (3.8)	3.92 ↑ (2.97)	6.1% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Dalian Young Boy will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 57.1% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dalian Young Boy (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
Yunnan Yukun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Dalian Young Boy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Yunnan Yukun is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Dalian Young Boy?

Yunnan Yukun has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Young Boy won against Yunnan Yukun?

Dalian Young Boy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy were as follows:

01.05.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun 3:2

26.10.2024 Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy 2:0

15.06.2024 Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun 0:3

Latest results of Yunnan Yukun

12.09.2025 Shanghai Port - Yunnan Yukun 4:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:5 ✺

20.08.2025 Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun 7:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Dalian Young Boy

14.09.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Shenzhen Peng City 2:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Young Boy 4:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Dalian Young Boy 2:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Chengdu Rongcheng 0:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Hainiu 2:0 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	26	17	6	3	63:38	25	57
2	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	16	7	3	53:22	31	55
3	Shanghai Shenhua	26	16	6	4	59:31	28	54
4	Beijing Guoan	26	15	6	5	57:39	18	51
5	Shandong Taishan	26	12	7	7	57:41	16	43
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	12	7	7	36:32	4	43
7	Zhejiang Professional	26	10	9	7	54:42	12	39
8	Qingdao West Coast	26	9	9	8	35:38	-3	36
9	Dalian Yingbo	26	9	6	11	26:40	-14	33
10	Yunnan Yukun	26	8	8	10	39:50	-11	32
11	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	5	13	45:44	1	29
12	Wuhan Three Towns	26	6	6	14	32:54	-22	24
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	6	2	18	30:55	-25	20
14	Meizhou Hakka	26	5	5	16	31:57	-26	20
15	Qingdao Hainiu	26	3	9	14	25:40	-15	18
16	Changchun Yatai	26	4	6	16	24:43	-19	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League