Result
3:0
05/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (347/403) | 84% (347/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (347/403) | 84% (347/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (38/69) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 73% (90/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.97 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Okita J. ⚽, Harkass J. (A),
- 40', Al Hawsawi S. 🟨,
- 45', Lekhal V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Meite Y. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Vada V. ⚽, Al Salkhadi M. (A),
- 60', 3 - 0, Al Hawsawi S. ⚽, Al Obaid A. (A),
- 61', Sylla M. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
- 61', Barbet Y. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
- 62', Al Salkhadi M. ↓, Al Qahtani A. ↑,
- 72', Antunes L. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez S. ↓, Al Siyahi A. ↑,
- 79', Okita J. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
- 81', Harkass J. 🟨,
- 87', Al Hawsawi S. ↓, Rabea H. ↑,
- 87', Bedrane A. ↓, Al Khaibre A. R. ↑,
- 87', Vada V. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
- 89', Rabea H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Damac
40.1% | Draw
31.4% | Al-Riyadh
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Damac - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.26) |
2.93 ↓
(3.24) |
3.28 ↑
(3.12) |
8.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Damac - Al-Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Damac will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damac: 31.2% – 83%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Al-Riyadh (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Damac (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Damac (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Damac could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Damac won against Al-Riyadh?
Damac has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Damac?
Al-Riyadh has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Damac - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
06.11.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Damac
1:1
05.04.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Damac
0:0
01.11.2024
Damac
-
Al-Riyadh
2:2
28.12.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Damac
1:0
17.08.2023
Damac
-
Al-Riyadh
2:2
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
