Damac vs Al-Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.230.82
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
44
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
69
Passes
86% (347/403)84% (347/413)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
1.230.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.390.97
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
56
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free kicks
512
Passes
86% (347/403)84% (347/413)
Long passes
55% (38/69)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
66% (55/83)73% (90/123)
Crosses
53% (8/15)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.01
Throw ins
922
Fouls
125
Tackles
38% (5/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
3114
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
0.972.39
Goals prevented
0.97-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Okita J. , Harkass J. (A),
  • 40', Al Hawsawi S. 🟨,
  • 45', Lekhal V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Meite Y. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Vada V. , Al Salkhadi M. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 0, Al Hawsawi S. , Al Obaid A. (A),
  • 61', Sylla M. , Haroun S. ,
  • 61', Barbet Y. , Al Absi K. ,
  • 62', Al Salkhadi M. , Al Qahtani A. ,
  • 72', Antunes L. , Al Shehri Y. ,
  • 78', Gonzalez S. , Al Siyahi A. ,
  • 79', Okita J. , Al Samiri K. ,
  • 81', Harkass J. 🟨,
  • 87', Al Hawsawi S. , Rabea H. ,
  • 87', Bedrane A. , Al Khaibre A. R. ,
  • 87', Vada V. , Al Saadi N. ,
  • 89', Rabea H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Damac
40.1%
Draw
31.4%
Al-Riyadh
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.5% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Damac - Al-Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.26)
    2.93
    (3.24)
    3.28
    (3.12)
    8.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Damac - Al-Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Damac will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Damac: 31.2%83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Al-Riyadh (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Damac (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damac (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Riyadh (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Damac could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Damac - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
    06.11.2025 Al-Riyadh - Damac 1:1
    05.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Damac 0:0
    01.11.2024 Damac - Al-Riyadh 2:2
    28.12.2023 Al-Riyadh - Damac 1:0
    17.08.2023 Damac - Al-Riyadh 2:2
    Latest results of Damac
    26.02.2026 Al Fateh - Damac 1:1
    23.02.2026 Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1
    20.02.2026 Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3
    12.02.2026 Damac - Al-Taawoun 2:1
    06.02.2026 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Damac 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Riyadh
    26.02.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1
    19.02.2026 Al-Kholood - Al-Riyadh 0:2
    14.02.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Khaleej 1:1
    06.02.2026 Neom - Al-Riyadh 1:0
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr ✔ 30261381:216079
    2Al Hilal29218076:255171
    3Al Ahli SC29206355:223366
    4Al Qadsiah30198371:314065
    5Al Taawon30147952:401249
    6Al Ittihad29146947:38948
    7Al Ettifaq301361144:51-745
    8Neom SC301171238:42-440
    9Al Hazem301081234:50-1638
    10Al Khaleej29971349:48134
    11Al Fayha29971335:45-1034
    12Al Shabab297111137:43-632
    13Al Fateh29881336:49-1332
    14Al Kholood29921838:57-1929
    15Damac305111427:47-2026
    16Al Riyadh30581730:58-2823
    17Al Okhdood30442224:64-4016
    18Al Najma ✔ 30252329:72-4311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1