Daniel Elahi Galan vs Jacob Fearnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
65%56%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (32/37)67% (30/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (10/20)46% (16/35)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
33% (15/45)14% (5/37)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (19/35)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)50% (1/2)
Winners
1129
Unforced Errors
1748
Net Points Won
27% (3/11)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
74% (42/57)58% (46/80)
Return Points Won
43% (34/80)26% (15/57)
Total Points Won
55% (76/137)45% (61/137)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Daniel Elahi Galan
60.9%
Jacob Fearnley
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Elahi Galan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniel Elahi Galan - Jacob Fearnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.64)

    2.38
    (2.19)
    7.4%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Elahi Galan - Jacob Fearnley?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fearnley will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fearnley: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacob Fearnley will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Galan is ranked ATP: 115. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 73.
    • Recent matches Galan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fearnley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Galan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Galan is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2