Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 72% | 72% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 68% (38/56) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 50% (11/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 70% (7/10) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 44% (28/63) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 38% (9/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 100% (5/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 43% (6/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (50/86) | 63% (49/78) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (29/78) | 42% (36/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (79/164) | 52% (85/164) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 55% (16/29) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
60.8% | Alejandro Moro Canas
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.6) |
|
2.36 ↑
(2.2) |
6.6%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Daniel Merida Aguilar will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 152. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 276.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Merida Aguilar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Alejandro Moro Canas?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Moro Canas won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Alejandro Moro Canas has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas were as follows:
06.02.2026
Alejandro Moro Canas
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar
0:2
29.01.2023
Daniel Merida Aguilar
-
Alejandro Moro Canas
1:2
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Callejon H. S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Gentzsch T. (SE) | Willwerth B. (JR) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rincon D. | Samuel T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Giustino L. (RET.) | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Travaglia S. (4) | Shelbayh A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Barton H. (LL) | Peniston R. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Hassan B. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Moro Canas A. (WC) | Loffhagen G. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Barranco Cosano J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Berrettini J. (WC) | Vasami J. (JR) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Dodig M. | Hussey G. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Almazan Valiente I. (Q) | Mikrut L. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Harris L. (6) | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Damas M. (Q) | Pereira T. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Martin Tiffon P. (Alt) | Brancaccio R. (SE) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Huesler M. | Ofner S. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Gentzsch T. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samuel T. | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (4) | Barton H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Hassan B. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Berrettini J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Hussey G. | Mikrut L. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Harris L. (6) | Damas M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Martin Tiffon P. | Huesler M. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gentzsch T. | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. (4) | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Mikrut L. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Harris L. (6) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. (7) | Harris L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Moro Canas A. | Harris L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
