Result
3:1
11/03/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 24
- Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld
30.7% | Draw
28% | Darmstadt
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↓
(3.26) |
3.38 ↓
(3.43) |
2.28 ↑
(2.11) |
5.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 45.7% – 84.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (15.64%), has project points - 36, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Darmstadt has the most likely position - 1 (37.69%), has project points - 66, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (72%), has a chance of win league (38%).
- This event has quality 35, big importance 71, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 4.
- Arminia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Darmstadt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Darmstadt will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Arminia won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Darmstadt?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt were as follows:
04.09.2022
Darmstadt
-
Arminia Bielefeld
1:1
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Darmstadt
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Schalke | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hannover | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bochum | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
