Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt).

2. Bundesliga - Round 11
Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	RTL, RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, RTL, RTL+, RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	0.54
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
9	9
Passes
82% (396/481)	78% (317/404)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	1.12
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
15	5
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
9	9
Touches in opposition box
29	21
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
82% (396/481)	78% (317/404)
Long passes
45% (26/58)	43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
70% (83/119)	62% (63/101)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.94	0.38
Throw-ins
20	20
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
65% (13/20)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
62	45
Clearances
22	28
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.12	1.66
Goals prevented
-0.88	-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Hornby F. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Sarenren Bazee N. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽, Schuhen M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lidberg I. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
46', Boakye B. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
56', Handwerker T. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
56', Micheler F. ↓, Sicker A. ↑,
56', Schuhen M. 🟨,
59', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
60', Lannert C. 🟨,
63', Hornby F. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
63', Marseiler L. ↓, Will P. ↑,
67', Richter M. 🟨,
73', 2 - 2, Grosser M. ⚽, Momuluh T. (A),
81', Klefisch K. 🟨,
85', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Young I. ↑,
90+2', Grodowski J. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
90+2', Lopez S. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
90+3', Corredor K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Darmstadt
47.7%

Draw
24.1%

Arminia Bielefeld
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

23.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

23%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.97)	3.89 ↓ (4.01)	3.37 ↑ (3.22)	6.5% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 42.8% – 90.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 0.
Darmstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Darmstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Darmstadt will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Darmstadt: Nurnberger F. (Injury)
There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Russo S. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Arminia Bielefeld?

Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Darmstadt?

Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:

11.03.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt 3:1

04.09.2022 Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1

Latest results of Darmstadt

29.10.2025 Darmstadt - Schalke 04 4:0 ✺

24.10.2025 Schalke 04 - Darmstadt 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Darmstadt - Magdeburg 0:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺

26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld

29.10.2025 Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 2:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 4:3 ✺

05.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺

28.09.2025 Hannover - Arminia Bielefeld 3:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	26	15	6	5	37:23	14	51
2	Darmstadt	26	13	10	3	48:29	19	49
3	Elversberg	26	14	6	6	44:28	16	48
4	Paderborn	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
5	Hannover	26	13	7	6	45:34	11	46
6	Hertha Berlin	26	11	8	7	37:31	6	41
7	Kaiserslautern	26	12	4	10	45:38	7	40
8	Karlsruher SC	26	9	7	10	40:50	-10	34
9	Bochum	26	8	9	9	36:33	3	33
10	Nurnberg	26	9	6	11	34:37	-3	33
11	Dusseldorf	26	9	4	13	24:35	-11	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	26	7	8	11	44:44	0	29
13	Braunschweig	26	8	5	13	29:43	-14	29
14	Greuther Furth	26	8	5	13	39:56	-17	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	26	7	7	12	38:36	2	28
16	Preussen Munster	26	6	8	12	30:44	-14	26
17	Holstein Kiel	26	6	7	13	31:40	-9	25
18	Magdeburg	26	7	3	16	36:49	-13	24

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