Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt
Result
3:1
11/03/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
30.7%
Draw
28%
Darmstadt
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 27.2% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 26.9% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (3.26)
    3.39
    (3.43)
    2.29
    (2.11)
    5.5%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 45.7%84.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (15.64%), has project points - 36, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Darmstadt has the most likely position - 1 (37.69%), has project points - 66, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (72%), has a chance of win league (38%).
    • This event has quality 35, big importance 71, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 4.
    • Arminia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Darmstadt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Darmstadt will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Arminia won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga