Darya Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatsch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
84
1st serve percentage
71%63%
1st serve points won
47% (30/64)51% (36/71)
2nd serve points won
35% (9/26)38% (16/42)
Break Points Saved
3/1213/23
1st return points won
49% (35/71)53% (34/64)
2nd return points won
62% (26/42)65% (17/26)
Break Points Converted
10/239/12
Service Points Won
43% (39/90)47% (55/118)
Return Points Won
53% (63/118)57% (51/90)
Total Points Won
49% (102/208)51% (106/208)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
36% (5/14)33% (5/15)
Return games won
67% (10/15)64% (9/14)
Total games won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
70.1%
Tamara Korpatsch
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Tamara Korpatsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamara Korpatsch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Tamara Korpatsch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.4)

    3.14
    (2.75)
    6%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Tamara Korpatsch?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Korpatsch will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darya Kasatkina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 75. Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 99.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Kasatkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kasatkina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina