Los Angeles Galaxy vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Ford T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.56
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
89% (610/682)84% (414/492)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.830.83
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
145
Passes
89% (610/682)84% (414/492)
Long passes
44% (15/34)47% (15/32)
Passes in final third
83% (151/181)70% (92/131)
Crosses
25% (2/8)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.011.67
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
514
Tackles
67% (18/27)60% (12/20)
Duels won
5941
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.830.83
Goals prevented
-0.17-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Hopkins J. 🟨,
  • 14', Bartlett L. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Reus M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Yoshida M. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Fagundez D. ,
  • 57', Badji D. , Benteke C. ,
  • 57', Hopkins J. , Servania B. ,
  • 57', Kijima H. , Leal R. ,
  • 64', Schnegg D. 🟨,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Gabriel Pirani , Peglow (A),
  • 78', Matheus Nascimento , Sanabria L. ,
  • 78', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 78', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 81', Gabriel Pec 🟨,
  • 82', Boris Enow , Peltola M. ,
  • 84', Reus M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 88', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 89', Fagundez D. , Parente I. ,
  • 90+2', Servania B. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Paintsil J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Los Angeles Galaxy
57.9%
Draw
22.8%
DC United
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 22% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 21.4% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles Galaxy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.54)
    4.17
    (4.33)
    4.97
    (5.88)
    5.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). DC United will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - DC United (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 3 - 50%). DC United (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 0.
    • Recent performances by LA Galaxy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • DC United is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • LA Galaxy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, LA Galaxy is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Berry M. (Thigh Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in LA Galaxy: McCarthy J. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United were as follows:
    20.05.2023 DC United - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
    Latest results of DC United
    09.07.2025 Nashville SC - DC United 5:2
    05.07.2025 DC United - Atlanta United 0:0
    14.06.2025 Real Salt Lake - DC United 2:0
    07.06.2025 DC United - Chicago Fire 1:7
    31.05.2025 Cincinnati - DC United 1:2
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

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