Nashville SC vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
09/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.29
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
87% (439/505)86% (324/378)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.070.26
Total shots
187
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
911
Passes
87% (439/505)86% (324/378)
Long passes
62% (13/21)48% (15/31)
Passes in final third
74% (118/160)72% (46/64)
Crosses
32% (7/22)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.44
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
119
Tackles
46% (6/13)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
735
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.263.07
Goals prevented
-0.74-1.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Gabriel Pirani , Boris Enow (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Maher J. (Own goal),
  • 26', 1 - 2, Perez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 49', Schnegg D. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 2, Surridge S. (Pen),
  • 56', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 67', Benteke C. , Badji D. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Surridge S. ,
  • 73', Muyl A. , Qasem A. ,
  • 79', Schnegg D. , Stroud J. ,
  • 81', Gabriel Pirani , Leal R. ,
  • 81', 4 - 2, Najar A. ,
  • 83', Palacios J. , Zimmerman W. ,
  • 84', Tagseth E. , Yazbek P. ,
  • 87', 5 - 2, Zimmerman W. ,
  • 90', Surridge S. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 90', Najar A. , Bauer J. ,

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
66.7%
Draw
20.5%
DC United
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 21.5% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 20.7% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Nashville SC - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.49)
    4.57
    (4.37)
    7.14
    (6.09)
    7.9%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nashville SC - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). DC United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 65%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.25 - Nashville (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nashville SC will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
    • Nashville is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • DC United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nashville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nashville is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Nashville will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - DC United were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Nashville SC - DC United 0:0
    02.10.2024 Nashville SC - DC United 3:4
    13.07.2024 DC United - Nashville SC 2:1
    01.07.2023 Nashville SC - DC United 2:0
    13.05.2023 DC United - Nashville SC 1:1
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of DC United
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.
    3Westchester SCNew York City
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh
    5DetroitChicago Fire
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
    7Louisville CityAustin FC
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
    13FC NaplesOrlando City
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16