Result
0:6
27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
China | QQ Sports |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/427) | 81% (335/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 3.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (344/427) | 81% (335/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/92) | 71% (95/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.77 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.23 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 12', Sullivan Q. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
- 17', 0 - 1, Damiani B. ⚽, Uhre M. (A), Iloski M. (A2)
- 33', Servania B. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 2, Antley C. (Own goal),
- 36', 0 - 3, Vassilev I. ⚽,
- 38', Stroud J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 49', 0 - 4, Iloski M. ⚽,
- 51', 0 - 5, Vassilev I. ⚽, Uhre M. (A), Wagner K. (A2)
- 57', Makhanya O. 🟨,
- 58', Stroud J. ↓, Clark C. ↑,
- 58', Herrera A. ↓, Dodson D. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 6, Uhre M. ⚽,
- 65', MacNaughton L. ↓, Boris Enow ↑,
- 65', Benteke C. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
- 65', Vassilev I. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
- 65', Damiani B. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
- 75', Servania B. ↓, Zouhir R. ↑,
- 83', Rafanello J. ↓, Mbaizo O. ↑,
- 83', Iloski M. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
Chances of winning
DC United 25% | Draw 25% | Philadelphia Union 50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
DC United - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.81 ↑ (3.48) |
3.81 ↑ (3.73) |
1.93 ↓ (1.97) |
4.4% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for DC United - Philadelphia Union?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Philadelphia is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Philadelphia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in DC United: Badji D.
(Thigh Injury)
Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Baribo T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in DC United: Leal R.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:53. (average 0.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1.2:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has DC United won against Philadelphia Union?
DC United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against DC United?
Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
26.04.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
DC United
3:0
22.09.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
DC United
4:0
04.05.2024
DC United
-
Philadelphia Union
2:2
26.08.2023
DC United
-
Philadelphia Union
1:3
03.08.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
DC United
1:0
Latest results of DC United
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal