Toronto FC vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Toronto FC - DC United
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.472.14
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Long passes
46% (23/50)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
72% (100/139)60% (54/90)
Crosses
20% (3/15)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.70
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
1317
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5441
Clearances
3321
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.141.47
Goals prevented
2.140.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Insigne L. , Corbeanu T. (A),
  • 63', Kijima H. , Leal R. ,
  • 63', Stroud J. , Murrell J. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Bartlett L. (Own goal),
  • 71', Boris Enow , Peltola M. ,
  • 71', Antley C. , Zouhir R. ,
  • 73', Coello A. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 73', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 81', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 82', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 85', Servania B. , Barajas F. ,
  • 90+1', Dominguez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
40%
Draw
27.6%
DC United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 26.4% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Toronto FC - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.32)
    3.43
    (3.62)
    2.94
    (2.93)
    5.1%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Toronto FC - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). DC United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for DC United: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • DC United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Etienne D. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Bartlett L. (Calf Injury) Gabriel Pirani (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - DC United were as follows:
    22.02.2025 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    31.08.2024 Toronto FC - DC United 1:3
    01.06.2024 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    27.05.2023 Toronto FC - DC United 2:1
    25.02.2023 DC United - Toronto FC 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of DC United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2