Toronto FC vs DC United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - DC United
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
Toronto FC - DC United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.472.14
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
82% (336/408)80% (349/434)
Long passes
46% (23/50)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
72% (100/139)60% (54/90)
Crosses
20% (3/15)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.70
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
1317
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5441
Clearances
3321
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.141.47
Goals prevented
2.140.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Insigne L. , Corbeanu T. (A),
  • 63', Kijima H. , Leal R. ,
  • 63', Stroud J. , Murrell J. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Bartlett L. (Own goal),
  • 71', Boris Enow , Peltola M. ,
  • 71', Antley C. , Zouhir R. ,
  • 73', Coello A. , Longstaff M. ,
  • 73', Brynhildsen O. , Etienne D. ,
  • 81', Insigne L. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 82', Bernardeschi F. , Spicer T. ,
  • 85', Servania B. , Barajas F. ,
  • 90+1', Dominguez M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
40%
Draw
27.6%
DC United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 26.4% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Toronto FC - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.32)
    3.43
    (3.62)
    2.94
    (2.93)
    5.1%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). DC United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for DC United: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • DC United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Etienne D. (Lower-Body Injury) Kerr D. (Ankle Injury) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Osorio J. (Shoulder Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Bartlett L. (Calf Injury) Gabriel Pirani (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - DC United were as follows:
    22.02.2025 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    31.08.2024 Toronto FC - DC United 1:3
    01.06.2024 DC United - Toronto FC 2:2
    27.05.2023 Toronto FC - DC United 2:1
    25.02.2023 DC United - Toronto FC 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of DC United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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