De Graafschap vs Emmen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 6
Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	2.43
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
17	16
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
82% (366/445)	71% (230/326)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72	2.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	2.19
Total shots
17	16
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
8	13
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
28	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	2
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
82% (366/445)	71% (230/326)
Long passes
45% (20/44)	35% (25/72)
Passes in final third
69% (89/129)	53% (49/93)
Crosses
15% (4/27)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.17	1.40
Throw-ins
30	17
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
52% (11/21)	52% (11/21)
Duels won
56	59
Clearances
20	40
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
2.19	1.27
Goals prevented
-0.81	-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Amadin N. ⚽, Everink L. (A),
8', 0 - 2, Larsen L. ⚽, Amadin N. (A),
44', Amadin N. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
45', Postema R. 🟨,
45+5', Bakir A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Geypens T. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
46', Symons K. ↓, Meerstadt J. ↑,
46', Theodoridis D. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
46', van der Heide A. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Niemeijer R. ⚽,
58', Besselink R. 🟨,
63', Ostergaard C. 🟨,
64', Unbehaun L. 🟨,
67', Kok T. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
67', Everink L. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Postema R. ⚽, Bakir A. (A),
83', Schoppema L. ↓, Boersma B. ↑,
86', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
88', Simons J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Boersma B. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
90', Bakir A. ↓, Oostra T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
49.3%

Draw
25.5%

Emmen
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

22.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that De Graafschap's form might have worsened.

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Graafschap, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

De Graafschap - Emmen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.66)	4.4 ↑ (4.11)	4.36 ↓ (4.44)	-12.7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Emmen?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 50%). Emmen (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
De Graafschap has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Emmen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, De Graafschap is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Emmen?

De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against De Graafschap?

Emmen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Emmen were as follows:

24.01.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 4:0

25.11.2024 Emmen - De Graafschap 3:0

10.05.2024 Emmen - De Graafschap 2:1

31.10.2023 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:0

25.08.2023 De Graafschap - Emmen 0:1

Latest results of De Graafschap

22.08.2025 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 0:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0 ✺

08.08.2025 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:2 ✺

02.08.2025 De Graafschap - Volos 1:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - De Graafschap 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Emmen

29.08.2025 Emmen - Den Bosch 3:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Emmen - Almere City 1:4 ✺

11.08.2025 Jong PSV - Emmen 3:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Waldhof Mannheim - Emmen 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	32	24	2	6	72:31	41	74
2	Cambuur	31	21	7	3	63:33	30	70
3	De Graafschap	31	15	7	9	58:49	9	52
4	Willem II	31	14	8	9	45:38	7	50
5	Jong PSV	32	15	5	12	62:56	6	50
6	Almere City	32	15	4	13	66:53	13	49
7	Waalwijk	32	13	9	10	54:47	7	48
8	Roda	32	12	11	9	50:47	3	47
9	Dordrecht	32	11	10	11	43:43	0	43
10	Den Bosch	32	12	7	13	55:57	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	31	12	4	15	45:55	-10	40
12	Venlo	32	11	4	17	39:49	-10	37
13	FC Emmen	30	10	6	14	46:54	-8	36
14	Jong Utrecht	32	9	9	14	48:54	-6	36
15	Maastricht	32	9	9	14	39:61	-22	36
16	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	49:49	0	33
17	Helmond	32	9	6	17	37:56	-19	33
18	Jong Ajax	32	8	8	16	45:57	-12	32
19	Jong AZ	32	9	4	19	53:63	-10	31
20	Oss	32	6	11	15	39:56	-17	29

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