De Graafschap vs Emmen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie De Graafschap - Emmen
Result
2:3
05/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 6
  • Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.722.43
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
82% (366/445)71% (230/326)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.722.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.272.19
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2826
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
108
Passes
82% (366/445)71% (230/326)
Long passes
45% (20/44)35% (25/72)
Passes in final third
69% (89/129)53% (49/93)
Crosses
15% (4/27)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.40
Throw-ins
3017
Fouls
911
Tackles
52% (11/21)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5659
Clearances
2040
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.191.27
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Amadin N. , Everink L. (A),
  • 8', 0 - 2, Larsen L. , Amadin N. (A),
  • 44', Amadin N. , Quispel F. ,
  • 45', Postema R. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Bakir A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Geypens T. , Bolk G. ,
  • 46', Symons K. , Meerstadt J. ,
  • 46', Theodoridis D. , Rijks M. ,
  • 46', van der Heide A. , Simons J. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Niemeijer R. ,
  • 58', Besselink R. 🟨,
  • 63', Ostergaard C. 🟨,
  • 64', Unbehaun L. 🟨,
  • 67', Kok T. , de Jong F. ,
  • 67', Everink L. , Beukers D. ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Postema R. , Bakir A. (A),
  • 83', Schoppema L. , Boersma B. ,
  • 86', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
  • 88', Simons J. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 3, Boersma B. , Simons J. (A),
  • 90', Bakir A. , Oostra T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
49.3%
Draw
25.5%
Emmen
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 22.7% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 22.2% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that De Graafschap's form might have worsened.
  • Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Graafschap, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • De Graafschap - Emmen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (1.66)
    4.4
    (4.11)
    4.36
    (4.44)
    -12.7%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Emmen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
    • De Graafschap has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Emmen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, De Graafschap is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Emmen were as follows:
    24.01.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 4:0
    25.11.2024 Emmen - De Graafschap 3:0
    10.05.2024 Emmen - De Graafschap 2:1
    31.10.2023 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:0
    25.08.2023 De Graafschap - Emmen 0:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Emmen
    29.08.2025 Emmen - Den Bosch 3:1
    22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0
    17.08.2025 Emmen - Almere City 1:4
    11.08.2025 Jong PSV - Emmen 3:1
    26.07.2025 Waldhof Mannheim - Emmen 2:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jong PSV44008:2612
    2Eindhoven FC43103:0310
    3Cambuur53117:4310
    4Dordrecht43016:249
    5Den Haag32109:367
    6Waalwijk42116:427
    7Roda42115:417
    8Willem II52126:9-37
    9Den Bosch32018:536
    10FC Emmen52038:12-46
    11Jong Ajax41127:704
    12Jong Utrecht41127:8-14
    13Helmond41124:6-24
    14Maastricht41121:5-44
    15Almere City31024:403
    16De Graafschap41035:7-23
    17Venlo41036:9-33
    18Oss41036:9-33
    19Jong AZ40043:9-60

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