VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Seacon - De Koel (Venlo).

Eerste Divisie - Round 36
Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.58	0.90
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
9	4
Passes
74% (256/345)	81% (284/351)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
3.58	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.43	2.31
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
8	5
Shots inside the box
13	10
Shots outside the box
5	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
40	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
13	10
Passes
74% (256/345)	81% (284/351)
Long passes
39% (28/71)	53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
54% (61/113)	65% (58/89)
Crosses
34% (11/32)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.04	0.62
Throw ins
26	15
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
63% (12/19)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
53	53
Clearances
14	41
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
2.31	2.43
Goals prevented
-0.69	-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Kaninda N. ⚽, El Allachi C. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
55', Niemeijer R. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Martens N. ⚽, Kaninda N. (A),
62', Hardeman J. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
62', El Allachi C. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
63', Kwint K. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
65', Sbai Y. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,
65', Odriss M. ↓, Vullers R. ↑,
65', Saddiki D. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, de Blok L. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
75', Gijselhart T. ↓, Meerstadt J. ↑,
76', Simons J. 🟨,
80', Foor N. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
80', de Blok L. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Eggens N. ⚽, Meerstadt J. (A),
90+3', 2 - 3, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Zijl B. (A),
90+6', 3 - 3, Zandbergen D. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning

VVV-Venlo
33.5%

Draw
24%

De Graafschap
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

23.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

22.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+2%)

VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 (2.8)	3.88 ↓ (4)	2.19 ↑ (2.11)	7.2% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
Venlo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
De Graafschap is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
De Graafschap could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against De Graafschap?

VVV-Venlo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against VVV-Venlo?

De Graafschap has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap were as follows:

08.08.2025 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:2

28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 3:1

01.12.2024 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:1

26.01.2024 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:0

01.09.2023 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 2:0

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

06.04.2026 Jong PSV - VVV-Venlo 1:0 ✺

03.04.2026 VVV-Venlo - Cambuur 3:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Emmen - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺

17.03.2026 VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax 0:1 ✺

13.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺

Latest results of De Graafschap

06.04.2026 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 5:0 ✺

03.04.2026 FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap 2:2 ✺

28.03.2026 Willem II - De Graafschap 0:2 ✺

22.03.2026 De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 2:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )