Jong PSV vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Herdgang (Eindhoven).

Eerste Divisie - Round 27
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.64	2.61
Ball possession
27%	73%
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
4	9
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
0	15
Passes
68% (150/219)	87% (501/575)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.64	2.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.79	2.89
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
4	9
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
3	4
Shots inside the box
6	13
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
0	15
Touches in opposition box
12	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
10	10
Passes
68% (150/219)	87% (501/575)
Long passes
24% (11/46)	55% (48/87)
Passes in final third
51% (25/49)	68% (79/117)
Crosses
0% (0/9)	32% (10/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.17	1.60
Throw ins
22	24
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
65% (13/20)	52% (12/23)
Duels won
44	55
Clearances
45	18
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	3
xGOT faced
2.89	0.79
Goals prevented
0.89	-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Koller J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', de Jong F. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
64', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
65', Kluit F. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
74', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
74', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
76', Kuhn W. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
76', Sidibe S. ↓, Khaderi B. ↑,
77', Kwint K. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Kwint K. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
83', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
83', Bassey E. ↓, Mulders B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Jong PSV
28.6%

Draw
22%

De Graafschap
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

22.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

22.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jong PSV - De Graafschap Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.79)	4.24 ↑ (4.05)	1.89 ↓ (2.06)	7.3% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Jong PSV - De Graafschap?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 17.8% – 64.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 0.
Jong PSV is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
De Graafschap has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N. (Groin Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 28:48. (average 1.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against De Graafschap?

Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong PSV?

De Graafschap has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - De Graafschap were as follows:

24.10.2025 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:2

28.02.2025 Jong PSV - De Graafschap 1:2

18.10.2024 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 3:1

22.01.2024 De Graafschap - Jong PSV 4:2

15.09.2023 Jong PSV - De Graafschap 1:3

Latest results of Jong PSV

09.02.2026 Jong PSV - FC Oss 2:0 ✺

06.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 2:1 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong PSV - Cambuur 3:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Jong PSV - Helmond Sport 4:0 ✺

22.01.2026 Southampton U21 - Jong PSV 1:3 ✺

Latest results of De Graafschap

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:0 ✺

26.01.2026 De Graafschap - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

23.01.2026 De Graafschap - Waalwijk 2:4 ✺

18.01.2026 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	29	22	2	5	70:30	40	68
2	Cambuur	28	19	6	3	60:32	28	63
3	De Graafschap	29	14	7	8	55:44	11	49
4	Jong PSV	29	14	5	10	59:53	6	47
5	Roda	29	12	10	7	49:43	6	46
6	Willem II	29	13	7	9	41:36	5	46
7	Almere City	29	13	3	13	60:50	10	42
8	Waalwijk	29	11	8	10	47:44	3	41
9	Dordrecht	29	11	8	10	39:38	1	41
10	Den Bosch	29	11	6	12	51:53	-2	39
11	Venlo	29	11	4	14	38:43	-5	37
12	Eindhoven FC	29	10	4	15	41:53	-12	34
13	FC Emmen	28	9	6	13	43:51	-8	33
14	Jong Utrecht	29	8	9	12	47:52	-5	33
15	Helmond	29	9	5	15	36:53	-17	32
16	Maastricht	29	8	7	14	35:58	-23	31
17	Jong AZ	29	9	3	17	49:57	-8	30
18	Vitesse	29	10	9	10	43:45	-2	27
19	Oss	29	6	9	14	35:50	-15	27
20	Jong Ajax	29	6	8	15	40:53	-13	26

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )