Result
1:2
28/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (435/524) | 78% (285/366) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (104/148) | 78% (101/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 67% (8/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 63% (12/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, El Kadiri I. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Abed T. ⚽, Uneken J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, van de Haar J. ⚽, Fortes J. (A),
- 56', van den Heuvel T. 🟨,
- 66', Land T. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
- 71', van de Haar J. ↓, Seuntjens R. ↑,
- 71', El Kadiri I. ↓, Niemeijer R. ↑,
- 75', van den Berg J. ↓, Thomas A. ↑,
- 77', van der Heide A. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
- 81', Waayers E. ↓, van Duiven R. ↑,
- 81', van den Heuvel T. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
- 82', van de Blaak E. ↓, Dagasan M. ↑,
- 89', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 89', van Gilst T. ↓, Besselink R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
18.1% | Draw
20.3% | De Graafschap
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong PSV - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.13 ↑
(4.03) |
4.63 ↑
(4.04) |
1.53 ↓
(1.73) |
6.5%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 1.
- Jong PSV has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches De Graafschap is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- De Graafschap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match De Graafschap is a favorite.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Fofana F.
(Knee Injury)
Pepi R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in De Graafschap: Wevers S.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's De Graafschap to win the game is with odds 1.64.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 25:46 (average 1.3:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jong PSV won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against De Graafschap?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong PSV?
De Graafschap has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - De Graafschap were as follows:
18.10.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong PSV
3:1
22.01.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong PSV
4:2
15.09.2023
Jong PSV
-
De Graafschap
1:3
17.03.2023
Jong PSV
-
De Graafschap
2:1
11.11.2022
De Graafschap
-
Jong PSV
3:2
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Oss | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Roda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Den Bosch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | De Graafschap | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Eindhoven FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Venlo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Jong AZ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Helmond | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
