De Graafschap vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:4
08/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 30
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.911.55
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
2413
Shots on target
124
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
32
Passes
82% (425/519)58% (127/219)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.911.55
xG on target (xGOT)
3.261.19
Total shots
2413
Shots on target
124
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
169
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
4217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1711
Passes
82% (425/519)58% (127/219)
Long passes
56% (32/57)24% (13/55)
Passes in final third
68% (108/160)51% (43/84)
Crosses
26% (9/35)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.090.98
Throw ins
2821
Fouls
1117
Tackles
53% (9/17)74% (20/27)
Duels won
6264
Clearances
1649
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
08
xGOT faced
1.193.26
Goals prevented
-2.812.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
  • 10', Bannis N. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Zumberi V. ⚽, Schwarz R. (A),
  • 39', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kaninda N. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
  • 46', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Eggens N. ⚽, Schoppema L. (A),
  • 60', 1 - 3, Marschalk M. ⚽, Huth E. (A),
  • 65', El Kadiri I. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
  • 66', Meerstadt J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
  • 69', Schwarz R. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
  • 69', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
  • 75', Marschalk M. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
  • 76', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
  • 76', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
  • 76', Kok T. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
  • 85', Buttner A. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
  • 87', Ranon Y. 🟨,
  • 87', Martens N. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 4, Ranon Y. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
53.6%		Draw
22.3%		Vitesse
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 22.6% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 21.7% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    De Graafschap - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.73 ↓
    (1.83)    		 4.13
    (4.13)    		 3.81 ↑
    (3.56)    		 8.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 41.6% – 98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
    • De Graafschap is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Vitesse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, De Graafschap is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1.1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Vitesse were as follows:
    04.12.2025 Vitesse - De Graafschap 1:2
    16.02.2025 Vitesse - De Graafschap 2:0
    29.09.2024 De Graafschap - Vitesse 3:1
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    27.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap 3:3 ✺
    20.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht 1:0 ✺
    13.02.2026 Jong PSV - De Graafschap 1:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Vitesse
    27.02.2026 Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:0 ✺
    20.02.2026 Willem II - Vitesse 3:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 FC Oss - Vitesse 1:2 ✺
    02.02.2026 Vitesse - FC Eindhoven 1:1 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Almere City361741573:591455
    6Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    7Roda3614121057:50754
    8Jong PSV351651463:59453
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Venlo361261847:55-842
    13FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    18Helmond36991840:61-2136
    19Oss358111646:61-1535
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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