De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 28
Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.47
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
10	2
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
82% (358/435)	64% (181/281)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.59	0.23
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
14	5
Shots outside the box
4	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
27	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
7	13
Passes
82% (358/435)	64% (181/281)
Long passes
44% (27/62)	35% (22/62)
Passes in final third
71% (69/97)	47% (55/117)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	0.35
Throw ins
18	20
Fouls
13	7
Tackles
67% (8/12)	44% (8/18)
Duels won
36	54
Clearances
21	23
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	8
xGOT faced
0.23	2.59
Goals prevented
0.23	1.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
62', El Kadiri I. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
62', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
65', Dundas N. 🟨,
75', El Arguioui R. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
75', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
75', Martens N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, de Jong F. ⚽,
88', den Boggende T. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
88', Demircan E. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
88', van der Wegen S. ↓, Beulens N. ↑,
90', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
90+2', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
90+4', Wieggers T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
58.9%

Draw
19.9%

Jong Utrecht
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

21.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

21.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.

Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.74)	4.76 ↑ (4.2)	4.49 ↑ (3.61)	7% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, De Graafschap is a strong favorite.
There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Eppink M. (Foot Injury) Iqbal Z. (Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:21. (average 2.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.9:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong Utrecht?

De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against De Graafschap?

Jong Utrecht has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht were as follows:

08.12.2025 Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap 2:3

20.01.2025 Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap 1:1

23.08.2024 De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht 2:2

03.05.2024 De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht 2:2

24.11.2023 Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap 2:0

Latest results of De Graafschap

13.02.2026 Jong PSV - De Graafschap 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:0 ✺

26.01.2026 De Graafschap - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

23.01.2026 De Graafschap - Waalwijk 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Jong Utrecht

16.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - Willem II 1:1 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo 2:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Waalwijk - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺

23.01.2026 MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺

19.01.2026 Jong Utrecht - Jong PSV 5:3 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )