Result
1:4
08/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 30
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 1.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (425/519) | 58% (127/219) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (425/519) | 58% (127/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 24% (13/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (108/160) | 51% (43/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/35) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 74% (20/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 3.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.81 | 2.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
- 10', Bannis N. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Zumberi V. ⚽, Schwarz R. (A),
- 39', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kaninda N. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
- 46', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Eggens N. ⚽, Schoppema L. (A),
- 60', 1 - 3, Marschalk M. ⚽, Huth E. (A),
- 65', El Kadiri I. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
- 66', Meerstadt J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
- 69', Schwarz R. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 69', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
- 75', Marschalk M. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
- 76', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 76', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
- 76', Kok T. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 85', Buttner A. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
- 87', Ranon Y. 🟨,
- 87', Martens N. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 4, Ranon Y. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
53.6% | Draw
22.3% | Vitesse
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
De Graafschap - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.83) |
4.13
(4.13) |
3.81 ↑
(3.56) |
8.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Vitesse?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
- De Graafschap is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vitesse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, De Graafschap is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Vitesse?
De Graafschap has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against De Graafschap?
Vitesse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Vitesse were as follows:
04.12.2025
Vitesse
-
De Graafschap
1:2
16.02.2025
Vitesse
-
De Graafschap
2:0
29.09.2024
De Graafschap
-
Vitesse
3:1
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
