Result
2:2
27/02/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 24
- Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (378/478) | 76% (287/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (378/478) | 76% (287/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (105/154) | 61% (55/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Jurina M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Hofmann M. ↓, Youga A. ↑,
- 49', Lang A. 🟨,
- 51', Batik B. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Barany D. ⚽, Szucs T. (A),
- 61', Jurek G. ↓, Atrok I. ↑,
- 62', Molnar A. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Barany D. ⚽, Gordic D. (A),
- 71', Bognar I. ↓, Nemeth H. ↑,
- 71', Jurina M. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 74', Gordic D. ↓, Cibla F. ↑,
- 74', Kocsis D. ↓, Szuhodovszki S. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Nemeth H. ⚽, Armalas V. (A),
- 76', 2 - 2, Kerezsi Z. ⚽, Nemeth K. (A),
- 85', Kata M. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
- 90+2', Youga A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Debreceni
49.7% | Draw
24.5% | MTK Budapest
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Debreceni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Debreceni - MTK Budapest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.88) |
3.8 ↑
(3.7) |
3.56 ↑
(3.25) |
7.9%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Debreceni - MTK Budapest?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - MTK (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Debreceni will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Debreceni will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Debreceni (votes: 4 - 80%). MTK (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 2.
- In recent matches, Debreceni has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- MTK is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.
- Debreceni is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Debreceni won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Debreceni won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Debreceni won against MTK Budapest?
Debreceni has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Debreceni?
MTK Budapest has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Debreceni - MTK Budapest were as follows:
09.11.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Debreceni
3:0
01.08.2025
Debreceni
-
MTK Budapest
1:0
03.05.2025
Debreceni
-
MTK Budapest
0:0
07.02.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Debreceni
0:2
28.09.2024
Debreceni
-
MTK Budapest
2:3
Latest results of Debreceni
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 58:29 | 29 | 59 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Zalaegerszegi | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Paks | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:37 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 50:58 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | DVTK | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36:52 | -16 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 29 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 27:63 | -36 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
