Result
5:2
03/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/268) | 74% (329/446) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.33 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/268) | 74% (329/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (20/65) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 43% (38/88) | 61% (78/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 71% (12/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
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| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.25 | 3.33 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.75 | -1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Horvath K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7', 1 - 1, Lang A. ⚽,
- 18', Szekszardi M. 🟨,
- 23', Hahn J. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Windecker J. (A),
- 42', Bode D. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 2, Guerrero A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Bevardi Z. ↓, Zeke M. ↑,
- 47', Horvath K. 🟨,
- 55', Mejias J. 🟨,
- 60', Lang A. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 2, Windecker J. ⚽,
- 67', Hahn J. ↓, Szendrei A. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 2, Silye E. ⚽, Szendrei A. (A),
- 89', Manzanara F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kohut M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
43.2% | Draw
25% | Debreceni
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Debreceni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paksi SE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Paksi SE - Debreceni Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.94) |
3.7 ↓
(4.03) |
2.92 ↓
(3.27) |
7.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Debreceni?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paks could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Debreceni?
Paksi SE has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Debreceni won against Paksi SE?
Debreceni has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Debreceni were as follows:
07.02.2026
Debreceni
-
Paksi SE
1:0
18.10.2025
Paksi SE
-
Debreceni
1:1
18.05.2025
Debreceni
-
Paksi SE
0:0
22.02.2025
Paksi SE
-
Debreceni
4:3
19.10.2024
Debreceni
-
Paksi SE
0:5
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Debreceni
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 64:30 | 34 | 66 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 64:31 | 33 | 65 |
| 3 | Paks | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 60:45 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 49:40 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Zalaegerszegi | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Kisvarda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 45:55 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 53:60 | -7 | 37 |
| 11 | DVTK ✔ | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 38:62 | -24 | 28 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 32 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 29:68 | -39 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
DVTK is Relegated to NB II.
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
