Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpain#Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.710.64
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
713
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Long passes
51% (25/49)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
67% (35/52)77% (134/175)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.38
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
137
Tackles
57% (8/14)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.643.71
Goals prevented
-0.361.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 40', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 63', Gutierrez J. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 63', Aguirre B. , Zenon K. ,
  • 70', Gonzalez L. , Schamine B. ,
  • 73', Velasco A. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 74', Miguel Merentiel , Herrera A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Osorio A. (Pen),
  • 85', Battaglia R. , Janson L. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Osorio A. , Soto A. (A),
  • 90+6', Miritello J. B. , Aguilera E. ,
  • 90+6', Cannavo E. , Souto L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
24%
Draw
30.4%
Boca Juniors
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 29.5% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (3.45)
    3.12
    (3.13)
    2.1
    (2.2)
    5.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Molinas A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:2
    10.02.2024 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    15.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 1:0
    06.03.2023 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)