Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpain#Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.710.64
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
713
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Long passes
51% (25/49)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
67% (35/52)77% (134/175)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.38
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
137
Tackles
57% (8/14)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.643.71
Goals prevented
-0.361.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 40', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 63', Gutierrez J. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 63', Aguirre B. , Zenon K. ,
  • 70', Gonzalez L. , Schamine B. ,
  • 73', Velasco A. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 74', Miguel Merentiel , Herrera A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Osorio A. (Pen),
  • 85', Battaglia R. , Janson L. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Osorio A. , Soto A. (A),
  • 90+6', Miritello J. B. , Aguilera E. ,
  • 90+6', Cannavo E. , Souto L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
24%
Draw
30.4%
Boca Juniors
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 29.5% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (3.45)
    3.12
    (3.13)
    2.1
    (2.2)
    5.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Molinas A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:2
    10.02.2024 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    15.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 1:0
    06.03.2023 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)