Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
South-america | ESPN South |
Spain | #Vamos |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 1.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
35% | 65% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (256/316) | 90% (516/574) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 1.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.71 | 0.64 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
81% (256/316) | 90% (516/574) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (25/49) | 59% (30/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (35/52) | 77% (134/175) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (4/8) | 19% (5/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 1.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (8/14) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.64 | 3.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.36 | 1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Ferreira L. 🟨,
- 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
- 40', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 63', Aguirre B. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
- 73', Velasco A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 74', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Osorio A. (Pen),
- 85', Battaglia R. ↓, Janson L. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
- 90+1', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Osorio A. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
- 90+6', Miritello J. B. ↓, Aguilera E. ↑,
- 90+6', Cannavo E. ↓, Souto L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia 24% | Draw 30.4% | Boca Juniors 45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)
Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.93 ↑ (3.45) |
3.12 ↓ (3.13) |
2.1 ↓ (2.2) |
5.1% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
- Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A.
(Muscle Injury)
Molinas A.
(Muscle Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Cavani E.
(Muscle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
Zeballos E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Boca Juniors?
Defensa y Justicia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Defensa y Justicia?
Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
21.07.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
Boca Juniors
2:2
10.02.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
15.09.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
06.03.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 17 |
2 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
3 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
4 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
8 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
14 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Godoy Cruz | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
15 | Independiente | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)