Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpain#Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.710.64
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
713
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Long passes
51% (25/49)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
67% (35/52)77% (134/175)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.38
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
137
Tackles
57% (8/14)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.643.71
Goals prevented
-0.361.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 40', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 63', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
  • 63', Aguirre B. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
  • 70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
  • 73', Velasco A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
  • 74', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Osorio A. (Pen),
  • 85', Battaglia R. ↓, Janson L. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Osorio A. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
  • 90+6', Miritello J. B. ↓, Aguilera E. ↑,
  • 90+6', Cannavo E. ↓, Souto L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
24%		Draw
30.4%		Boca Juniors
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 29.5% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.93 ↑
    (3.45)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.13)    		 2.1 ↓
    (2.2)    		 5.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 15.4% – 84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 1st Half - Boca Juniors (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Molinas A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:2
    10.02.2024 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    15.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 1:0
    06.03.2023 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    22.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Platense 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano 2:1 ✺
    22.08.2025 Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia 1:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    21.09.2025 Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Rosario Central - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Aldosivi - Boca Juniors 0:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Banfield 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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