Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (256/316) | 90% (516/574) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.71 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (256/316) | 90% (516/574) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 59% (30/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 77% (134/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Ferreira L. 🟨,
- 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
- 40', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 63', Aguirre B. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
- 73', Velasco A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 74', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Osorio A. (Pen),
- 85', Battaglia R. ↓, Janson L. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
- 90+1', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Osorio A. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
- 90+6', Miritello J. B. ↓, Aguilera E. ↑,
- 90+6', Cannavo E. ↓, Souto L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia
24% | Draw
30.4% | Boca Juniors
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)
Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↑
(3.45) |
3.12 ↓
(3.13) |
2.1 ↓
(2.2) |
5.1%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 1st Half - Boca Juniors (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
- Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A.
(Muscle Injury)
Molinas A.
(Muscle Injury)
Perez C.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Cavani E.
(Muscle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
Zeballos E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Boca Juniors?
Defensa y Justicia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Defensa y Justicia?
Boca Juniors has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
21.07.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
Boca Juniors
2:2
10.02.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
15.09.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
06.03.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
