Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Balino J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpain#Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.710.64
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
713
Passes
81% (256/316)90% (516/574)
Long passes
51% (25/49)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
67% (35/52)77% (134/175)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.38
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
137
Tackles
57% (8/14)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
3019
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.643.71
Goals prevented
-0.361.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 40', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 63', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
  • 63', Aguirre B. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
  • 70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
  • 73', Velasco A. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
  • 74', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Osorio A. (Pen),
  • 85', Battaglia R. ↓, Janson L. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
  • 90+1', Miritello J. B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Osorio A. ⚽, Soto A. (A),
  • 90+6', Miritello J. B. ↓, Aguilera E. ↑,
  • 90+6', Cannavo E. ↓, Souto L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
24%		Draw
30.4%		Boca Juniors
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.1% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 29.5% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.93 ↑
    (3.45)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.13)    		 2.1 ↓
    (2.2)    		 5.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 15.4% – 84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • H/A, 1st Half - Boca Juniors (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Molinas A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Zeballos E. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:2
    10.02.2024 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    15.09.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 1:0
    06.03.2023 Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    22.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia 1:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Platense 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Belgrano 2:1 ✺
    22.08.2025 Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia 1:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    21.09.2025 Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Rosario Central - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Aldosivi - Boca Juniors 0:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Banfield 2:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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