Defensa y Justicia vs Huracán Buenos Aires – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
03/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
82% (328/399)71% (192/272)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.701.66
Total shots
916
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
622
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
82% (328/399)71% (192/272)
Long passes
43% (21/49)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
68% (83/122)61% (62/102)
Crosses
14% (3/22)43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.78
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (4/6)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3250
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.660.70
Goals prevented
-1.34-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Gimenez L. , Miljevic M. (A),
  • 33', Ibanez C. 🟨,
  • 43', Gonzalez L. , Barbona D. ,
  • 43', Ferreira L. , Hausch A. ,
  • 45+1', Schamine B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Schamine B. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Osorio A. , Molinas A. (A),
  • 53', Soto A. 🟥,
  • 55', Gutierrez J. , Lucero S. ,
  • 55', Lucero S. 🟨,
  • 59', De La Fuente H. , Guidara T. ,
  • 59', Ojeda E. , Bisanz J. ,
  • 64', Ibanez C. , Lescano L. ,
  • 64', Sequeira L. , Ramirez E. ,
  • 69', Hausch A. , Rubio T. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Lescano L. , Guidara T. (A),
  • 77', Cannavo E. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Miljevic M. , Waller Martiarena F. F. (A),
  • 83', Miljevic M. , Carrizo L. ,
  • 90+4', Ramirez E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
38%
Draw
31.9%
Huracán Buenos Aires
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 28.8% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 27.9% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (1.99)
    2.93
    (3.25)
    3.12
    (3.85)
    6.8%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Huracán will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Huracán's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia 1:1
    11.05.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia 3:1
    27.01.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires 2:4
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano74309:4515
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5River Plate83238:8011
    6Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    7Banfield83149:9010
    8Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    9Barracas Central82336:7-19
    10Huracan72325:6-19
    11Racing Club72238:9-18
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)